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Wastewater Surveillance for Carbapenem-Resistant Organism Outbreak Prediction in a Chinese Tertiary Hospital

Longitudinal Wastewater Monitoring of Antimicrobial Resistance Genes Across Functional Hospital Areas and Its Association With Clinical Carbapenem-Resistant Organism Infections: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study

Status
Not yet recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT07804433
Acronym
WW-CRO-PREDICT
Enrollment
720
Registered
2026-09-04
Start date
2026-09-01
Completion date
2028-09-01
Last updated
2026-09-04

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Carbapenems, Drug Resistance, Bacterial, Wastewater

Brief summary

Carbapenem-resistant organisms (CRO) pose a critical threat to global public health, and hospitals serve as major epicenters for their emergence and spread. Traditional clinical infection surveillance often detects CRO outbreaks only after infections have already occurred, missing the window for early intervention. Wastewater-based epidemiology has demonstrated its early warning potential during the COVID-19 pandemic and is increasingly recognized as a promising tool for antimicrobial resistance surveillance. Our preliminary 22-day pilot study at Peking Union Medical College Hospital revealed two distinct antimicrobial resistance gene (ARG) dynamics patterns across different hospital areas: the Internal Medicine Ward exhibited a "chronic resistance background" with persistently high abundance of carbapenemase genes (IMP/GES types \>5,000 ppm), while the Emergency/Fever Clinic showed "acute pulse outbreaks" characterized by transient 50- to 200-fold surges of mcr-3 and QnrVC genes. These findings suggest that hospital functional areas have fundamentally different ARG profiles with unique temporal signatures. This prospective observational cohort study aims to establish a wastewater-based early warning system for hospital-acquired CRO outbreaks by conducting longitudinal monitoring across four key functional areas: Outpatient Building, Internal Medicine Ward, Surgical Ward, and Emergency/Fever Clinic at Peking Union Medical College Hospital over a 6- to 9-month period. Twenty-four-hour flow-proportional composite wastewater samples will be collected daily using automatic samplers. Laboratory analyses include ARG large-panel testing (300+ subtypes, daily), metagenomic sequencing (weekly, plus pulse-triggered intensified sampling), and viable bacterial culture with whole-genome sequencing of key isolates. Concurrently, we will collect de-identified clinical CRO isolates and antibiotic consumption data (Defined Daily Doses) from the corresponding hospital buildings. Multidimensional association analyses will be performed using cross-correlation function analysis, Granger causality tests, and cgMLST-based genomic comparisons to determine the lead time of wastewater ARG signals ahead of clinical CRO diagnoses and to provide direct evidence of clonal homology between wastewater and clinical isolates. An early warning model will be constructed using dynamic thresholds (moving average + 2SD/3SD) and machine learning algorithms. This study integrates environmental, clinical, and pharmaceutical data following the One Health framework. By establishing a replicable building-level wastewater resistome surveillance protocol, this research is expected to provide hospitals with a proactive tool for early CRO outbreak detection, enabling timely infection prevention and control measures. All clinical data will be de-identified, and the study has been designed to pose no greater than minimal risk to patients, with a waiver of informed consent sought in accordance with relevant ethical regulations.

Interventions

None listed

Sponsors

Peking Union Medical College Hospital
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Wastewater samples collected from the four designated sampling sites (Outpatient Building, Internal Medicine Ward, Surgical Ward, and Emergency/Fever Clinic). * 24-hour composite samples collected using automatic samplers following the flow-proportional mixing protocol. * Clinical data: Patients with laboratory-confirmed CRO infection (carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Acinetobacter baumannii, etc.) from the above 4 hospital buildings during the study period. Clinical data de-identified at the time of extraction.

Exclusion criteria

* Wastewater samples from sites other than the four designated locations. * Samples contaminated or degraded during collection, transport, or storage. * Clinical data: CRO-positive results indicating colonization rather than infection. * Clinical data with incomplete key information (species, specimen source, date of detection, or department/location).

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Wastewater Antimicrobial Resistance Gene (ARG) AbundanceDaily for 6-9 monthsAbundance of 300+ ARG subtypes (including carbapenemase genes blaIMP, blaGES, blaKPC, blaNDM, blaOXA; colistin resistance gene mcr-3; quinolone resistance gene QnrVC) measured in copies per million 16S rRNA reads (ppm) from 24-hour composite wastewater samples collected at 4 hospital sites
Whole-Genome Sequences of Clinical CRO IsolatesClinical CRO isolates (50-80 selected strains) from each building during the study periodClinical CRO isolates (50-80 selected strains) from each building during the study period are subjected to whole-genome sequencing (≥50× coverage). cgMLST typing, ARG annotation (AMRFinderPlus), and phylogenetic analysis are performed for clonal homology comparison with wastewater isolates.

Countries

China

Contacts

CONTACTyuda fei, Dr
fei_yuda@!63.com+86 18501360830
PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATORbin du, Dr

Peking Union Medical College Hospital

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Sep 5, 2026