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Fall Injury Mortality Prediction

Development of a Mortality Prediction Model for Fall Injury Patients: An Analysis of the PATOS Trauma Registry

Status
Completed
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT07643051
Enrollment
58353
Registered
2026-06-11
Start date
2016-01-01
Completion date
2024-12-31
Last updated
2026-06-11

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Fall, Mortality Prediction, Trauma Injury

Brief summary

This retrospective, multicenter, registry-based cohort study used data from the Pan-Asian Trauma Outcomes Study registry between January 2016 and December 2024. Adult patients with fall-related trauma were included if they had available data on age, sex, emergency department vital signs, and 30-day mortality. The final cohort was randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts in a 2:1 ratio. Candidate predictors were selected based on clinical relevance, field triage criteria, prior trauma literature, and early availability. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop the model, and regression coefficients were converted into an integer-based score. Model performance was assessed using discrimination, calibration, Brier score, and threshold-based metrics.

Interventions

OTHERPrediction model development

Prediction model development

Sponsors

Mackay Memorial Hospital
Lead SponsorOTHER
National Taiwan University Hospital, Yun-Lin Branch
CollaboratorOTHER
Taipei Medical University
CollaboratorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
RETROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
Yes

Inclusion criteria

* Among patients with traumatic injuries recorded in the PATOS registry between January 2016 and December 2024, those with fall-related injuries were screened for eligibility.

Exclusion criteria

* Patients younger than 18 years and those with missing data on age, sex, ED vital signs, or 30-day mortality were excluded.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
30-day Mortality30-day30-day Mortality

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Jun 12, 2026