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Genetic Risk Score of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus for Progression to Insulin in Diabetic Patients Lack of Predictive Value: a Multicenter Nested Case-control Study

Genetic Risk Score of Type 1 Diabetes Mellitus for Progression to Insulin in Diabetic Patients Lack of Predictive Value: a Multicenter Nested Case-control Study

Status
Recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT07621445
Enrollment
2950
Registered
2026-06-02
Start date
2025-10-27
Completion date
2029-12-31
Last updated
2026-06-02

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Diabetes Mellitus, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1

Keywords

Genetic risk score

Brief summary

The goal of this observational study is to evaluate the predictive value of the genetic risk score for type 1 diabetes in the progression to insulin deficiency in diabetic patients. The main question it aims to answer is: 1. To investigate the predictive efficacy of the genetic risk score for T1DM in determining whether diabetic patients will progress to insulin deficiency; 2. To compare the differences in genetic characteristics between the insulin-deficient cohort and the non-insulin-deficient cohort. This study is a nested case-control study, in which a case group and a control group are set up for the collection of observational indicators. Case group: Diabetic patients who "progressed to insulin deficiency" and those who "progressed to severe insulin deficiency". Control group: Patients who did not progress to insulin deficiency. The study period is 3 years.

Interventions

None listed

Sponsors

Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
CASE_CONTROL
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
14 Years to 50 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Gender is not restricted. * Age ranges from 14 to 50 years old. * Diagnosis of diabetes within \< 1 year: 1. If there are diabetes symptoms and meet any of the following criteria:① Plasma glucose at any time ≥ 11.1 mmol/L (200 mg/dL), or② Fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/L (126 mg/dL), or③ Plasma glucose 2 hours after OGTT/post - meal ≥ 11.1 mmol/L (200 mg/dL), or④ HbA1c ≥ 6.5%. 2. If there are no diabetes symptoms, another test on a different day is required for diagnosis. * Newly - diagnosed diabetes patients whose type diagnosis is considered unclear clinically.

Exclusion criteria

* Peak C-peptide \< 200 pmol/L; * Gestational diabetes, monogenic diabetes (neonatal diabetes, MODY), exocrine pancreatic diseases (cystic fibrosis), diabetes caused by drugs or chemicals; * Those who have been under long-term treatment with hormones or immunosuppressants; * Pregnant or lactating women; * Those with concurrent malignant tumors or severe heart, liver, and kidney diseases; * Those with an expected survival time of less than 3 years; * Those with mental disorders or unable to cooperate with the investigation for other reasons; * Acute phase of diabetic ketoacidosis; * Stress conditions such as severe infection, fever, trauma, and major surgery; * Patients lacking major clinical information; * Those considered by the researcher as unfit to participate in this study.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
C-peptide"baseline"、"third year"The primary endpoint is the occurrence of progression to insulin deficiency. Subjects who "progress to insulin deficiency" are defined as those whose C-peptide level drops to C-peptide \< 250 pmol/L during the follow - up period;

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Fasting and 2 - hour blood glucose"baseline"、"third year"
Glycosylated hemoglobin"baseline"、"third year"
Whether insulin treatment is needed"baseline"、"third year"Collect the medical history and current medication information of the subjects.

Countries

China

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Jun 3, 2026