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Mortality Predictors in Patients 80+ After Major Abdominal Surgery: Role of Frailty and Physiological Reserve

Mortality Predictors After Major Abdominal Surgery in Patients Aged 80 and Over: The Role of Frailty and Physiological Reserve

Status
Completed
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT07440095
Enrollment
100
Registered
2026-02-27
Start date
2026-03-01
Completion date
2026-04-10
Last updated
2026-04-30

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Abdomen Cancer, Aged, 80 and Over, Frailty, Postoperative Complications

Brief summary

The aim of this study is to identify independent risk factors for 30-day mortality in patients aged 80 and over who have undergone major abdominal surgery. While traditional risk scoring systems often focus on chronic disease burden, they may not fully capture the biological decline associated with aging. This research specifically focuses on the predictive value of "frailty" and "physiological reserve" in determining surgical outcomes for this "old-old" patient population. In this retrospective cohort study, data from approximately 200 patients treated between 2022 and 2025 will be analyzed. Frailty will be assessed using the Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5), and physiological reserve will be evaluated through preoperative laboratory markers such as albumin, creatinine, and lymphocyte counts. By determining how these factors influence postoperative mortality, the study aims to improve preoperative patient selection, enhance risk communication with families, and provide a basis for protective strategies like prehabilitation.

Detailed description

As the global population ages, the "old-old" (aged 80 and over) patient group is increasingly encountered in surgical clinics. Major abdominal surgery in this demographic is categorized as high-risk due to both the severity of surgical trauma and the presence of multiple comorbidities. Traditional risk assessment tools often emphasize chronic disease burden but may fail to reflect the loss of biological resilience inherent in aging. "Frailty" has emerged as a critical parameter in predicting surgical outcomes, representing a state of reduced physiological reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors, independent of chronological age. This retrospective study is designed to investigate the independent predictors of 30-day mortality in patients aged 80 and older who underwent major abdominal surgery (including gynecologic oncology, surgical oncology, and urologic oncology procedures) at Dr. Abdurrahman Yurtaslan Ankara Oncology Training and Research Hospital. Methodology and Data Collection: Patient data from the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and 2025 will be extracted from the hospital's electronic database. The study will include approximately 200 patients who meet the inclusion criteria. Frailty Assessment: The Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) will be utilized to evaluate the frailty status of each patient. This index is a validated tool for retrospective studies and includes parameters such as functional status and history of specific comorbidities. Physiological Reserve: This will be assessed using objective preoperative clinical and laboratory parameters, including serum albumin levels, creatinine, leukocyte/lymphocyte ratios, hemoglobin levels, and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status score. Outcome Measure: The primary endpoint is 30-day postoperative mortality. If 30-day follow-up data is not available in the hospital records, patients or their relatives will be contacted via telephone to determine the survival status.

Interventions

OTHERMajor Abdominal Surgery and Frailty Assessment

Retrospective evaluation of patients aged 80 and over who underwent major abdominal surgery (including surgical oncology, gynecologic oncology, and urologic oncology). The study involves the assessment of preoperative frailty using the Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) and the analysis of physiological reserve through laboratory markers (albumin, creatinine, lymphocyte count, hemoglobin). The primary focus is to determine the impact of these factors on 30-day postoperative mortality.

Sponsors

Dr Abdurrahman Yurtaslan Ankara Oncology Training and Research Hospital
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
RETROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
80 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Patients aged 80 years and older * Underwent major abdominal surgery between January 2022 and December 2025 * Availability of at least 30 days of postoperative follow-up data * Complete medical records available in the hospital information system

Exclusion criteria

* Patients under 80 years of age * Underwent surgical procedures other than major abdominal surgery * Missing or incomplete follow-up data within the first 30 days postoperatively * Insufficient data for the assessment of frailty (mFI-5) or physiological reserve parameters (e.g., missing preoperative laboratory values)

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
30-Day Postoperative MortalityFrom the date of surgery up to 30 days postoperativelyThe occurrence of death from any cause within 30 days following the major abdominal surgical procedure. This will be assessed using hospital electronic records and, if necessary, through telephone follow-ups with patients or their relatives.

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) ScorePreoperative assessment (retrospective data from 2022-2025)Assessment of patients' frailty status using the Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5). The mFI-5 consists of 5 items: history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and functional status. Each item is assigned 1 point if present. The total score ranges from 0 to 5, where 0 represents "not frail" and 5 represents "severely frail." Higher scores indicate a higher degree of frailty and a worse clinical outcome
Preoperative Serum Albumin LevelPreoperative laboratory values collected retrospectively from 2022-2025.Evaluation of preoperative serum albumin levels (measured in g/dL) as an indicator of nutritional status and physiological reserve.
Preoperative Serum Creatinine LevelPreoperative laboratory values collected retrospectively from 2022-2025.Evaluation of preoperative serum creatinine levels (measured in mg/dL) to assess renal function as part of the physiological reserve
Preoperative Hemoglobin LevelPreoperative laboratory values collected retrospectively from 2022-2025Evaluation of preoperative hemoglobin levels (measured in g/dL) to assess the oxygen-carrying capacity and physiological reserve.

Countries

Turkey (Türkiye)

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: May 1, 2026