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Development of Computational Models to Predict the Short-, Medium- and Long-term Cartilage Degeneration and Pain for Patients With Early-stage Osteoarthritis or Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury

Development of Computational Models to Predict the Short-, Medium- and Long-term Cartilage Degeneration and Pain for Patients With Early-stage Osteoarthritis or Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injury

Status
Recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT07134244
Acronym
MathKOA
Enrollment
105
Registered
2025-08-21
Start date
2024-09-26
Completion date
2036-09-26
Last updated
2025-08-21

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Anterior Cruciate Ligament Injuries, Osteoarthritis, Knee

Keywords

Knee joint, Cartilage degeneration, Biomechanics, Computational modeling, Pain assessment, Musculoskeletal modeling, Finite element analysis, MRI

Brief summary

Knee osteoarthritis is a complex condition, and selecting effective non-drug treatments like orthoses or exercise is often difficult and imprecise. This study will follow individuals with early-stage knee osteoarthritis or previous anterior cruciate ligament injury to develop computational models that predict cartilage degeneration and pain over time. The models will integrate data from medical imaging, movement analysis, muscle strength testing, pain assessments, questionnaires, and biomarkers to improve personalized treatment planning.

Interventions

None listed

Sponsors

Lund University
CollaboratorOTHER
University of Eastern Finland
CollaboratorOTHER
Aalborg University Hospital
CollaboratorOTHER
Aalborg University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to 70 Years
Healthy volunteers
Yes

Inclusion criteria

.3.1 ACL reconstruction group (n= 25) Inclusion criteria * Adults under 70 years * ACL injury within the last year and planned for ACL reconstruction at inclusion * Informed consent form signed

Exclusion criteria

(at inclusion) * Previous knee surgery before current knee trauma. * Severe ischemic or neurological sequelae. * BMI above 32. * Clinically significant joint disease (inflammatory or degenerative) to other joints than the ACL injured knee (according to the clinician). * Unsuitable for MRI (e.g. pacemaker or claustrophobia) * Participants not able to fit the MRI knee coil (Thigh circumference larger than 73.5 cm measured 10 cm above the kneecap and a maximum calf circumferences of 61.5 cm). * Drug addiction defined as the use of cannabis, opioids or other drugs as reported by the participant ACL no reconstruction group (n= 25) Inclusion criteria * Adults under 70 years * ACL injury within the last year and with no plans for ACL reconstruction at inclusion * Informed consent form signed

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Change in Knee Cartilage Composition and Structure Assessed by Quantitative Magnetic Resonance ImagingData will be collected at three main time points: baseline, one-year follow-up, and three years follow-up. Additionally, a downscaled protocol will be used to follow the participants at 7- and 10 years follow-ups.Person-specific 3T MRI scans will be used to measure changes in knee cartilage, including T1ρ and T2 relaxation times and 3D geometry, as indicators of cartilage biochemical composition and structural integrity. Analyses will be used for predictive computational modeling of cartilage degeneration.

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Brief Pain Inventory ScoresBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year follow-up.Severity and interference of pain over the past 24 hours, measured on a 0-10 scale using the Brief Pain Inventory questionnaire.
Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score (KOOS)Baseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year follow-up.Self-administered questionnaire assessing pain, symptoms, activities of daily living, sport and recreation function, and knee-related quality of life. Scores range from 0 (no problems) to 4 (extreme problems) for each domain.
Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) - Total ScoreBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.14-item self-report scale assessing anxiety and depression symptoms. Total score range: 0-42; higher scores indicate worse symptoms.
Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI) - Global ScoreBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.19-item questionnaire assessing sleep quality over the past month. Global score range: 0-21; higher scores indicate poorer sleep quality.
Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) - Total ScoreBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.13-item scale assessing catastrophic thinking related to pain. Total score range: 0-52; higher scores indicate greater pain catastrophizing.
Short Form-12 Health Survey (SF-12) - Physical Component Summary (PCS) ScoreBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.Summary measure of physical health-related quality of life. Score range: 0-100; higher scores indicate better physical health status.
Short Form-12 Health Survey (SF-12) - Mental Component Summary (MCS) ScoreBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.Summary measure of mental health-related quality of life. Score range: 0-100; higher scores indicate better mental health status.
40-Meter Fast-Paced Walk Test - TimeBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Time to walk 40 meters at fastest safe pace. Measured in seconds; lower scores indicate better performance.
30-Second Chair Stand Test - Number of RepetitionsBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Number of full stands from a seated position completed in 30 seconds. Higher scores indicate better performance.
Stair Climb Test - TimeBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Time taken to ascend a standard set of stairs. Measured in seconds; lower scores indicate better performance.
Timed Up-and-Go (TUG) Test - TimeBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Time to rise from a chair, walk 3 meters, turn, return, and sit. Measured in seconds; lower scores indicate better performance.
Knee Pain Intensity (Visual Analog Scale)Baseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year follow-up.Self-reported knee pain intensity using a 100-mm Visual Analog Scale anchored with 0 = no pain and 100 = worst imaginable pain.
3D Motion Capture - Kinetics ParametersBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Inverse dynamics calculated from movement patterns and force plates during activities, using 3D motion capture.
Motion capture Surface Electromyography (EMG)Baseline, 1-year, 3-year.Muscle activation amplitude from selected lower limb muscles, measured in microvolts (µV) and processed per SENIAM guidelines.
Pressure Pain Detection ThresholdBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Minimum pressure at which a sensation becomes painful, measured in kilopascals (kPa) using a computer-controlled cuff algometer. Higher values indicate reduced sensitivity to pain.
Pressure Pain Tolerance ThresholdBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Maximum pressure a participant can tolerate, measured in kilopascals (kPa). Higher values indicate greater pain tolerance.
Temporal Summation of PainBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Increase in pain intensity in response to repetitive stimulation, measured as change in pain rating on a 0-10 numeric rating scale. Higher scores indicate greater central sensitization.
Conditioned Pain Modulation EffectBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Percentage change in pain rating during a conditioning stimulus, indicating efficiency of endogenous pain inhibition. Higher percentages indicate stronger pain inhibition.
Plasma Protein Biomarker Concentrations - Inflammatory MarkersBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.Quantitative concentrations of inflammatory biomarkers in plasma using LC-MS/MS and high-multiplex immunoassays (Olink). Higher or lower values indicate changes in inflammatory status.
Plasma Protein Biomarker Concentrations - Cartilage Metabolism MarkersBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.Quantitative concentrations of cartilage metabolism biomarkers in plasma. Higher or lower values indicate changes in cartilage turnover.
Synovial Fluid Protein Biomarker Concentrations - Inflammatory MarkerBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.Quantitative concentrations of inflammatory biomarkers in synovial fluid
Synovial Fluid Protein Biomarker Concentrations - Cartilage Metabolism MarkersBaseline, 1-year, 3-year, 7-year, 10-year.Quantitative concentrations of cartilage metabolism biomarkers in synovial fluid
3D Motion Capture - Kinematic ParametersBaseline, 1-year, 3-year.Joint angles and Movements patterns during movement, measured in degrees, using 3D motion capture.

Countries

Denmark

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026