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Refining Risk Prediction Models for Older Adults Using Electronic Health Records

Patient-centered Precision Medicine Lab Result Communication for Older Adults - Validation and Refinement of an Existing Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Risk Model

Status
Not yet recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT06995365
Enrollment
18000
Registered
2025-05-29
Start date
2026-09-01
Completion date
2028-03-01
Last updated
2026-07-24

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Predictive Modeling

Keywords

Lab Result Communication, Risk Stratification

Brief summary

This study aims to improve how lab results are communicated to older adults by refining a predictive model that uses electronic health record (EHR) data. The model was originally developed to estimate the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. Researchers will use existing health data to test and improve the accuracy of the model and explore how it might be adapted for use in other health conditions. The study does not involve direct interaction with patients and is conducted entirely using de-identified data in a secure environment.

Interventions

This study analyzes retrospective electronic health record (EHR) data from older adults to refine and validate a predictive model for other conditions in future studies.

Sponsors

University of California, Los Angeles
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
RETROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
65 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

include, but are not limited to: * being over the age of 65; having at least 5 years of clinical follow up; and having a serum creatinine lab test conducted

Exclusion criteria

* Patients younger than 65 years old * Patients with less than 5 years of clinical follow-up * Patients from health systems outside of the UC Health network.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Performance of the Risk Prediction ModelUp to 5 years of retrospective follow upEvaluate the predictive performance of a machine learning-based risk model using retrospective Electronic Health Records (EHR) data. The model estimates the likelihood of disease progression in older adults. The model should be designed to be adaptable to various clinical conditions. Metrics include Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC), sensitivity, and specificity.

Countries

United States

Contacts

CONTACTKatelyn Nguyen
katenguyen@mednet.ucla.edu13102675250

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Jul 25, 2026