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Predictive Model for High-Flow Nasal Cannula Failure in COVID-19-related Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure Based on Metabolomics and Clinical Data

Predictive Model for High-Flow Nasal Cannula Failure Based on Metabolomics and Clinical Data: COVID-19 As a Use Case

Status
Completed
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT06695442
Acronym
COVIDOMICS
Enrollment
111
Registered
2024-11-19
Start date
2020-03-01
Completion date
2021-12-01
Last updated
2024-11-19

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure, COVID 19

Keywords

Acute Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure, COVID-19, High-Flow Nasal Cannula, Predictive Model, Machine Learning, Metabolomics

Brief summary

The aim of this prospective observational cohort study is to develop a predictive model for high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) failure in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) caused by SARS-CoV-2. By combining clinical data and metabolomic profiles, the study seeks to answer: \- Can integrating clinical parameters with metabolomic markers enhance the prediction of HFNC failure in AHRF patients? Participants with AHRF due to SARS-CoV-2 receiving HFNC under standard-of-care protocols will be monitored until hospital discharge or death. Blood samples for metabolomic analysis will be collected at inclusion.

Detailed description

This prospective observational cohort study focuses on developing and validating a predictive model for HFNC failure in patients with SARS-CoV-2-related AHRF, combining clinical parameters and metabolomic profiling. Patients received standard-of-care therapy based on hospital protocols, with clinical data and plasma samples collected at inclusion (T0) for laboratory and metabolomic analyses. The study consists of two cohorts: a Training Cohort (March 2020 to April 2021) for model development and a Validation Cohort (May 2021 to October 2021) for model validation and external testing. HFNC outcomes were classified as success or failure, with failure defined as requiring orotracheal intubation (OTI). Advanced machine-learning techniques were employed for feature selection and model optimization, targeting precise integration of clinical and metabolomic data. This model seeks to enhance early identification of HFNC failure risk, enabling timely interventions and personalized management in critically ill AHRF patients.

Interventions

None listed

Sponsors

Fundacio La Marató de TV3
CollaboratorUNKNOWN
Instituto de Salud Carlos III
CollaboratorOTHER_GOV
European Union
CollaboratorOTHER
Hospital del Mar Research Institute (IMIM)
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Adult patients (≥18 years old) with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (AHRF) confirmed as secondary to SARS-CoV-2 infection via PCR testing. * Requirement for high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) initiated within 48 hours of hospital admission.

Exclusion criteria

* Patients under the age of 18 * Patients with active do not resuscitate (DNR) orders at the time of inclusion.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Predictive Model DevelopmentFrom the initiation of HFNC until the need for intubation, hospital discharge, or death, whichever occurs first (up to 28 days). Completed using the Training Cohort (March 2020 to April 2021).Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of the final predictive model for identifying HFNC failure, measured at the time of study inclusion (T0).

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Identification of Key MetabolitesAt study inclusion (T0).Concentrations of key metabolomic markers (e.g., anthranilic acid, octanoic acid) associated with HFNC failure, measured at T0.
Validation of the Predictive ModelFrom the initiation of HFNC until the need for intubation, hospital discharge, or death, whichever occurs first (up to 28 days). Completed during the Validation Cohort phase (May to October 2021).Performance of the predictive model in the Validation Cohort. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) of the final predictive model for identifying HFNC failure, measured at the time of study inclusion (T0).

Countries

Spain

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026