Skip to content

Research on Intraoperative Hypothermia Risk Prediction Model and Temperature Management Strategy for Elderly Patients During Surgery Based on Dynamic Incremental Training

Research on Intraoperative Hypothermia Risk Prediction and Temperature Management Strategies in Elderly Patients: Construction of Intraoperative Hypothermia Prediction Model Based on Dynamic Incremental Training and Evaluation of Clinical Application Effectiveness

Status
Completed
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT06676735
Enrollment
1323
Registered
2024-11-06
Start date
2025-03-11
Completion date
2026-01-14
Last updated
2026-01-16

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Intraoperative Hypothermia

Keywords

Intraoperative hypothermia, Prediction model, Elderly patients, Active warming, Machine Learning

Brief summary

With the support of partial dual temperature monitoring (comparing the specific difference between standardized axillary temperature monitoring and esophageal temperature), this trial is divided into the following three parts: 1. Multi center observational study: Establish and validate a dynamic incremental training intraoperative hypothermia prediction model - Intelligent Care for the Elderly (ICE) - Intraoperative hypothermia warning system, and provide ICE Offline for use by healthcare professionals and ICE Online for further model updates when needed for clinical or research purposes. 2. Multi center non randomized controlled clinical trial: Conduct a multi center stratified temperature management clinical trial based on ICE Offline after dynamic incremental training to verify the clinical and economic benefits of the model and active warming. 3. Pre and post comparative study: Collect data before ICE application and compare it with data after ICE promotion.

Interventions

DEVICEInflatable warming system

Inflatable warming system, including a forced air warming system (IOB, WU505) and forced air warming blanket (IOB-001, IOB-006, IOB-011), is employed for prewarming before anesthesia initiation and for maintaining body temperature throughout the operation. During the surgery, the insulation blanket will be applied to non surgical areas, and the host temperature will be adjusted to 38 ℃ for warming. If the temperature of the patient is lower than 36 ℃, the temperature of the system can be adjusted to 43 ℃; if the temperature of the patient is higher than 37 ℃, the temperature of the system can be adjusted to 32 ℃. After the patient\'s temperature is normal, it can be adjusted back to 38 ℃.

DIAGNOSTIC_TESTPrediction of intraoperative hypothermia risk

According to the Intelligent Care For The Elderly (ICE, an optimized model based on the existing prediction model of our research group after dynamic incremental training), patients are divided into intraoperative hypothermia lowrisk group and intraoperative hypothermia high risk group.

OTHERThe difference between axillary temperatature and core temperature in elderly patients

Previous studies have shown that the difference and standard deviation between esophageal temperature and axillary temperature are core 0.05 ℃ and 0.26 ℃, respectively. In light of 10% dropout rate, a integer sample size of 400 achieves 95% power to detect a mean of paired differences of 0.05 with an estimated standard deviation of paired differences of 0.26 and with a significance level (alpha) of 0.05 using a two-sided paired t-test. So 400 patients in the Model optimization group need to undergo core temperature (esophageal temperature or nasopharyngeal temperature).

OTHERMeasurement of tympanic membrane temperature

As a intraoperative core temperature reference (measure every 15 minutes) for patients without esophageal temperature or nasopharyngeal temperature monitoring.

Sponsors

First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Allocation
NON_RANDOMIZED
Intervention model
PARALLEL
Primary purpose
PREVENTION
Masking
DOUBLE (Investigator, Outcomes Assessor)

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
60 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
Yes

Inclusion criteria

* Elderly patients (aged 60 and above) undergoing non cardiac elective surgery under general anesthesia; * 30 minutes ≤ Estimated surgical duration ≤ 240 minutes ; * Normal preoperative bleeding and clotting time * American society of Aneshesiologists physical status classification system:Ⅰ~Ⅳ

Exclusion criteria

* Mental illness * Cirrhosis * Existence or potential central hyperthermia * Metabolic thermoregulatory abnormalities * History of malignant hyperthermia or family history * Extensive skin burns or injuries * Seriously infect * Long term use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs * Expected difficult airway * Researchers believe that individuals who are not suitable to participate in clinical trial * Refusal to sign informed consent form * Withdraw informed consent form * Severe bleeding or shock during perioperative period.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Intraoperative hypothermiaUp to 24 hours, from the time of entry into the operating room to the time of exit from the operating room.Intraoperative hypothermia, defined as a core temperature below 36 °C

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
The specificity and sensitivity of the model1 yearConventional parameters for evaluating model accuracy
Physical sensationPerioperative periodThe ASHRAE thermal sensation scale, which was developed for use in quantifying people's thermal sensation, is defined as follows:+3 (hot), +2 (warm), +1 (slightly warm), 0 (neutral), -1 (slightly cool), -2(cool), and -3 (cold)
Total volume of intraoperative blood lossIntraoperativeRoutine intraoperative monitoring indicators
Postoperative shiveringUp to 60 minutesA compensatory response of the body to hypothermic stimuli that cause rapid rhythmic. Once the operation is completed, the patient will be extubated and the presence or absence of shivering will be recorded up to 60 minutes after the extubation with the Badjatia 2008 scale consisting of a gradual evaluation of 0 to 3 points. With scores greater or equal to 1, shivering is considered established.
Postoperative coagulation indexWithin 24 hours after operationRoutine postoperative monitoring indicators
Postoperative hospital stayThrough study completion, an average of 1 yearThe number of days from the end of surgery to discharge displayed in the electronic medical record system for patients
Total hospital stayThrough study completion, an average of 1 yearThe number of days from admission to discharge displayed in the electronic medical record system for patients.
Costs of using active warmingPerioperative period
Postoperative hospital costsThrough study completion, an average of 1 yearThe Postoperative hospital cost (¥) from the end of surgery to discharge displayed in the electronic medical record system
Total hospital costsThrough study completion, an average of 1 yearThe Total hospital cost (¥) from admission to discharge displayed in the electronic medical record system
30-day postoperative readmission30 days after operationRoutine postoperative monitoring indicators
30-day postoperative complications30 days after operationRoutine postoperative monitoring indicators
30-day postoperative mortality30 days after operationRoutine postoperative monitoring indicators
Heart ratePerioperative periodObtained from multi parameter monitor
Blood pressurePerioperative periodObtained from multi parameter monitor
Blood oxygen saturationPerioperative periodObtained from multi parameter monitor

Countries

China

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026