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A Prediction Model of Anastomotic Stricture After Rectal Cancer

A Prediction Model of Anastomotic Stricture After Rectal Cancer: a Retrospective Cohort Analysis

Status
Completed
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT06404554
Enrollment
1542
Registered
2024-05-08
Start date
2024-01-01
Completion date
2024-04-30
Last updated
2024-05-08

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Anastomotic Stenosis, Colorectal Cancer, Rectal Cancer

Keywords

nomogram, rectal cancer, anastomotic stricture

Brief summary

Background: Anastomotic stricture significantly impacts patients' quality of life and long-term prognosis. However, current clinical practice lacks accurate tools for predicting anastomotic stricture. This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict anastomotic stricture in patients with rectal cancer who have undergone anterior resection. Methods: 1542 eligible patients will be recruited for the study. Least absolute shrinkage selection operator (Lasso) analysis will be used to preliminarily select predictors. A prediction model will be constructed using multivariate logistic regression and presented as a nomogram. The performance of the nomogram will be evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration diagrams, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Internal validation will be conducted by assessing the model's performance on a validation cohort.

Interventions

without any intervention

Sponsors

Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
RETROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to 80 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

1. pathological confirmation of rectal cancer; 2. eligibility for surgical intervention; 3. undergoing first rectal cancer surgery; 4. acquisition of written informed consent from patients and their families; 5. no history of hypertrophic scar or allergic predispositions.

Exclusion criteria

1. absence of postoperative follow-up or anastomosis details; 2. patients subjected to Hartmann or Miles procedures; 3. emergency surgery candidates due to conditions like perforation or obstruction; 4. diagnosis of multiple primary malignancies; 5. intraoperative discovery of widespread implant metastases within the abdominal cavity; 6. severe comorbidities; 7. anastomotic recurrence of rectal cancer; 8. patients who had undergone stapled hemorrhoidopexy

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
patients with anastomotic strictureup to six monthsWithin six months after rectal cancer surgery, the patient was diagnosed with benign stricture of the rectal anastomosis
patients without anastomotic strictureup to six monthsWithin six months after rectal cancer surgery, the patient was not diagnosed with benign stricture of the rectal anastomosis

Countries

China

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026