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Using Machine Learning to Optimise the Danish Drowning Formula

Machine Learning-assisted Drowning Identification for the Danish Prehospital Drowning Data: Using Machine Learning to Optimise the Danish Drowning Formula

Status
Active, not recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT06310525
Acronym
DROWN_DDF2
Enrollment
1500
Registered
2024-03-15
Start date
2024-01-01
Completion date
2025-12-31
Last updated
2025-08-27

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Drowning, Drowning and Nonfatal Submersion, Drowning and Submersion Due to Fall Off Ship, Drowning and Submersion While in Bath-Tub, Drowning and Submersion While in Natural Water, Drowning and Submersion While in Swimming-Pool, Drowning; Asphyxia, Drowning, Near

Keywords

Danish Drowning Formula, Epidemiology, Drowning, Machine learning, Text search, Utstein, Prehospital, Register, Database, Denmark

Brief summary

The Danish Drowning Formula (DDF) was designed to search the unstructured text fields in the Danish nationwide Prehospital Electronic Medical Record on unrestricted terms with comprehensive search criteria to identify all potential water-related incidents and achieve a high sensitivity. This was important as drowning is a rare occurrence, but it resulted in a low Positive Predictive Value for detecting drowning incidents specifically. This study aims to augment the positive predictive value of the DDF and reduce the temporal demands associated with manual validation.

Detailed description

The DDF was published in 2023. It is a text-search algorithm designed to search the unstructured text fields in databases containing electronic medical records to identify all potential water-related incidents. The DDF consists of numerous trigger words related to submersion injury (e.g., drukn/ drown, vand/water, hav/ocean, and båd/ boat). An ongoing study showed impressive performance metrics of the DDF as a drowning identification tool when applied to the Danish PEMR on unrestricted terms. However, the PPV was low for detecting drowning incidents specifically. This study aims to augment the DDF's positive predictive value and reduce the temporal demands associated with manual validation. Data are extracted from the Danish nationwide Prehospital Electronic Medical Record using the DDF and manually validated before entered into the Danish Prehospital Drowning Data (DPDD). Data from the DPDD from 2016-2021 will be split into 80% (training data) and 20% (test data) and used to train the machine learning. Data from the DPDD from 2022-2023 will be used as validation data to calculate the performance metrics for the machine learning.

Interventions

Drowning was defined by the WHO in 2002 as the process of experiencing respiratory impairment from submersion or immersion in liquid.

Sponsors

Prehospital Center, Region Zealand
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
RETROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* The patient must have been experiencing respiratory impairment from submersion or immersion in liquid (including persistent coughing, respiratory arrest, and unconsciousness). * The patient must have been in contact with the Danish prehospital Emergency Medical Services.

Exclusion criteria

* Duplets * Invalid civil registration number

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Sensitivity of the machine learning algorithm as a drowning identification toolThe sensitivity of the trained machine learning will be calculated based on data from 2022 and 2023.Sensitivity \[TP / (TP+FN)\] will be calculated to show the performance of the machine learning as a drowning identification tool.
Specificity of the machine learning algorithm as a drowning identification toolThe specificity of the trained machine learning will be calculated based on data from 2022 and 2023.Specificity \[TN / (FP+TN)\] will be calculated to show the performance of the machine learning as a drowning identification tool.
PPV of the machine learning algorithmThe PPV of the trained machine learning will be calculated based on data from 2022 and 2023.PPV \[TP / (TP+FP)\] will be calculated to show the machine learning test result.
NPV of the machine learning algorithmThe NPV of the trained machine learning will be calculated based on data from 2022 and 2023.NPV \[TN / (FN+TN)\] will be calculated to show the machine learning test result.

Countries

Denmark

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026