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Improving Risk Stratification of Emergency Department Patients With Acute Heart Failure

Improving Risk Stratification of Emergency Department Patients With Acute Heart Failure: Building and Testing a Machine-learning Platform for Personalized, Accurate, Real-time Risk Prediction

Status
Enrolling by invitation
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT06065761
Enrollment
17459
Registered
2023-10-04
Start date
2025-01-16
Completion date
2026-12-31
Last updated
2026-06-18

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Heart Failure

Keywords

Emergency Department, Risk Prediction

Brief summary

The primary goal is to build and test a previously developed and validated risk model and clinical decision support tool embedded within the electronic health record to improve risk stratification of emergency department (ED) patients with acute heart failure (AHF).

Detailed description

The study team will build an electronic health record-embedded clinical decision support tool using a recently developed risk prediction model that curates patient-specific data in real-time, accurately estimates short-term patient risk, and presents tailored clinical recommendations. This will be a regional implementation study in which the tool is turned on at 21 emergency departments (ED) across Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC). The study team will validate risk predictions and study key clinical outcomes as part of this trial.

Interventions

OTHERComprehensive ED heart failure management tool

The investigators plan a regional implementation of an electronic health record-based heart failure decision support tool across 21 EDs of Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC).

Sponsors

Kaiser Permanente
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Adult (≥18y) KPNC members treated in the ED for presumed acute heart failure

Exclusion criteria

* Children (\<18y). * Patients who left against medical advice or eloped prior to ED physician evaluation.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Number of patients with risk-stratified appropriate disposition24 hoursRisk-stratified appropriate disposition is defined as the proportion of ED encounters with concordant risk-based disposition (admission of high-risk patients and discharge of low-risk patients), assessed using STRATIFY risk calculator

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Number of patients with all-cause mortality30 days from index ED visit
Number of patients with serious adverse events30 days from index ED visitSerious adverse events include mortality, cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), intubation/ventilation, new end-stage renal disease (ESRD), balloon pump placement, or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI)/coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG)
Number of patients with readmissions30 days from index ED visit

Countries

United States

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Jun 19, 2026