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Prediction of Progression of Retinal Ischemia in Diabetes

Prediction of Progression of Retinal Ischemia in Diabetes

Status
Active, not recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT05581225
Acronym
PREDICTION
Enrollment
62
Registered
2022-10-14
Start date
2022-12-02
Completion date
2028-10-31
Last updated
2025-05-09

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Diabetic Retinopathy

Brief summary

Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is a major public health problem with significant socioeconomic implications due to its increased prevalence. Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is the most frequent complication in DM patients and remains the leading cause of legal blindness in working-age populations (Yau et al., 2012). Differentiating patients with higher vs low risk of progression to vision-threatening complications is of paramount importance for an efficient managing of the disease to prevent vision disability. PREDICTION is a longitudinal prospective clinical study in DMT2 patients with a higher risk of progression to explore possible imaging, functional and systemic biomarkers of progression, using non-invasive methods, commonly applied in the clinical practice. Investigating the retinal vascular network (vessel density metrics with Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography) will allow a better understanding of the evolution of capillary closure and ischemia, two main risk factors for DR worsening.

Detailed description

Patients with Mild to Severe NPDR (ETDRS DRSS 43-53) often progress to PDR and/or CI-DME (ETDRS Report). However, it is unclear which patients in this group are likely to progress. Previous studies have shown that diabetic macular ischemia (DMI) is a risk factor for progression of DR. This study aims to correlate baseline OCTA metrics with visual function and identify risk factors for progression from NPDR to PDR and/or CI-DME.

Interventions

None listed

Sponsors

Association for Innovation and Biomedical Research on Light and Image
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
35 Years to 80 Years

Inclusion criteria

* DM type 2 according to 1985 WHO criteria. * Age between 35 and 80 years. * BCVA ≥ 75 letters (20 /32). * Refraction with a spherical equivalent less than 5 Diopters. * NPDR levels 43, 47 or 53 (based on the ETDRS criteria - 7 fields CFP).

Exclusion criteria

* Cataract or other eye disease that may interfere with fundus examinations. * HBA1C ≥ 12% * Any eye surgery within a period of 6-months before the inclusion visit date. * Other retinal vascular disease. * Previous laser or intravitreal injection treatment. * Dilatation of the pupil \< 5 mm.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
One and 2-steps change on ETDRS severity level (using standard 7-fields CFP acquisitions at 30º and in Wide-field 100º acquisitions).48 monthsIdentify and characterize the progression of retinal microvascular changes (vascular occlusion) occurring in eyes with moderate to severe NPDR (ETDRS severity levels 43, 47 or 53).
Changes in Vessel density (VD) metrics (skeletonized VD, binarized VD (PD), considering macular region and midperiphery.48 monthsExplore new OCTA vascular metrics and identify which can be used as imaging biomarkers to better identify DR progression (skeletonized VD, binarized VD (PD).
Changes in geometric perfusion deficits (GPD) on the superficial and deep retinal vascular layers on SS-OCTA, considering macular region and midperiphery.48 monthsExplore new OCTA vascular metrics and identify which can be used as imaging biomarkers to better identify DR progression geometric perfusion deficits (GPD) using 3mm x 3mm and wide-field 15mm x 15mm OCTA acquisitions.

Secondary

MeasureTime frame
Changes in GCL + IPL thickness evaluated by SD-OCT.48 months
Changes in CRT and layer by layer thickness evaluated by SD-OCT.48 months
Changes in FAZ area on OCTA48 months
Changes in mean luminous sensitivity in dB, evaluated by Microperimetry.48 months
Changes in BCVA (ETDRS letters chart).48 months
Changes in perimeter on OCTA.48 months
Changes in circularity on OCTA.48 months

Countries

Portugal

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026