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Study to Identify and Describe Predictive Factors for Thromboembolic Events in Patients With High-risk Polycythemia Vera

Prospective Observational Study to Identify and Describe Predictive Factors for Thromboembolic Events in Patients With High-risk Polycythemia Vera

Status
Active, not recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT05548062
Acronym
Prospero
Enrollment
242
Registered
2022-09-21
Start date
2023-03-02
Completion date
2027-08-31
Last updated
2026-06-11

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Polycythemia Vera

Keywords

polycythemia vera, high-risk polycythemia vera, PV, Ruxolitinib, NIS, Italy, TE, predictive factors, hydroxyurea

Brief summary

This is a prospective observational study that will enroll patients with high-risk Polycythemia Vera (PV) with at least one Thromboembolic Event (TE) after diagnosis or up to 2 years prior to diagnosis. This is a non-randomized study, and to ensure a sufficient number of patients in both cohorts, enrollment in each cohort will be terminated once the target of 150 patients has been reached.

Detailed description

All patients are already on treatment with hydroxyurea or ruxolitinib at enrollment as per clinical practice and independently of their participation in this study. In addition, the follow-up visits and the evaluation procedures required in the study protocol correspond to current clinical practice. According to local regulations related to observational studies, assessments such as blood tests are justified by the purpose and rationale of the study (i.e., the identification of possible predictive factors of TEs) and are considered current clinical practice. Data related to other procedures will be collected only if such procedures are performed as per clinical practice but are not required otherwise. Patients in both cohorts will be followed for 3 years after enrollment and will have visits at Months 6, 12, 18, 24, 30 and 36. A time window of ± 1 month is permitted for all visits.

Interventions

OTHERHydroxyurea

Prospective observational study. There is no treatment allocation. Patients prescribed with Hydroxyurea are eligible to enroll into this study.

OTHERRuxolitinib

Prospective observational study. There is no treatment allocation. Patients prescribed with Ruxolitinib are eligible to enroll into this study.

Sponsors

Novartis Pharmaceuticals
Lead SponsorINDUSTRY

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to 99 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

1. Signed informed consent must be obtained prior to participation in the study. 2. Age ≥18 years. 3. Diagnosis of PV according to WHO 2008 or WHO 2016 and high-risk stratification according to European LeukemiaNet (ELN) classification. 4. At least one TE after diagnosis or up to 2 years prior to diagnosis. 5. Patients on treatment with hydroxyurea at enrollment and for at least 18 months prior to enrollment or those on treatment with ruxolitinib who started treatment up to 18 months before enrollment.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Percentage of abnormalities presented in patients with Thromboembolic Events (TEs) during the follow upUp to 36 monthsDemographics, blood pressure, laboratory blood tests, and use of antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants are predictors of TE occurrence, a univariate Cox regression model for repeated events will be applied for each predictor considering all the TEs occurring within 12 months and the time from baseline to each occurrence. Predictors found statistically significant at the 5% level will then be considered in a multivariate Cox regression model for repeated events.
Blood pressureUp to month 36Blood pressure is going to be collected
Number of patients with abnormal Body Mass Index (BMI)Up to month 36Number of patients with abnormal Body Mass Index (BMI) will be collected
Number of patients with abnormal weightUp to month 36Number of patients with abnormal weight will be collected
Number of patients with abnormal Neutrophil (NEP) countUp to 36 monthsNumber of patients with abnormal Neutrophil (NEP) count will be collected
Number of patients with abnormal White blood Count (WBC)Up to 36 monthsNumber of patients with abnormal White blood Count (WBC) will be collected
Number of patients with abnormal Lymphocytes (LYP) countUp to 36 monthsNumber of patients with abnormal Lymphocytes (LYP) count will be collected
Number of participants using antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants on the incidence of TEsUp to 36 monthsNumber of participants using antiplatelets and/or anticoagulants on the incidence of Thromboembolic Events (TEs) will be collected

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Synergistic combinations of predictive factorsUp to 36 monthsSynergistic combinations of predictive factors (Red cell Distribution Width, neutrophils, lymphocytes, neutrophil/ lymphocyte ratio and platelets). Synergy score is defined as the product of the individual significances of variable 1 and 2 (expected) divided by the significance of the two-variable model (observed) To investigate cases of extreme synergy, instances in which two variables split the given cohort into high-risk and low-risk patients are far better than either variable alone. A simple synergy scoring metric to rank variable in terms of synergy (S):S12=(P1\*P2)/P12 where P1 and P2 are the maximum possible (Cox regression derived) p-values for variable 1 and variable 2 and P12 was the max. p-value possible from the combination of variables 1 and 1. This synergy is intended to capture a variable that may provide exclusive non-redundant information when attempting to split a cohort based on risk and may provide an added insight into the functional/clinical rationale of a model
Yearly incidence of TEs36 monthsYearly incidence of Thromboembolic Events (TEs) will be collected
Incidence of arterial and venous TEs in the hydroxyurea and ruxolitinib cohorts36 monthsIncidence of arterial and venous TEs in the hydroxyurea and ruxolitinib cohorts will be collected
Incidence and severity of adverse events36 monthsIncidence and severity of adverse events according to National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (NCI CTCAE) v5.0.

Countries

Italy

Contacts

STUDY_DIRECTORNovartis Pharmaceuticals

Novartis Pharmaceuticals

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Jun 12, 2026