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Establishment and Validation of a Predictive Model for the Risk of Colorectal Advanced Adenomas

Establishment and Validation of a Predictive Model for the Risk of Colorectal Advanced Adenomas

Status
UNKNOWN
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT05152082
Enrollment
3000
Registered
2021-12-09
Start date
2021-06-01
Completion date
2022-12-01
Last updated
2021-12-30

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Colorectal Adenoma

Brief summary

The study aimed to analyze the risk factors of colorectal advanced adenoma and constructe a model to predict the high-risk individuals of harbouring colorectal advanced adenomas, so as to better identify screening participants and provide an important theoretical basis for the prevention of colorectal cancer.

Detailed description

A large cohort of eligible patients were included in the analysis, and classified into derivation and validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of participants were utilized to develop a prediction model for colorectal advanced polyps. In the derivation cohort, the LASSO regression method was applied to filter variables and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify important predictors.A prediction model was established based on the results of multivariate logistic regression analysis. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated with respect to its discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness.

Interventions

None listed

Sponsors

The First Affiliated Hospital with Nanjing Medical University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
CASE_CONTROL
Time perspective
RETROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to 75 Years
Healthy volunteers
Yes

Inclusion criteria

* Patients aged ≥18 and ≤75 years old. Patients with complete data on demography and clinicopathology.

Exclusion criteria

* Patients with a history of inflammatory bowel disease, enterophthisis, familial adenomatous polyposis, P-J syndrome and intestinal lymphoma. Patients with a previous history of colorectal neoplasm. Patients with a history of severe systemic diseases. Lack of complete clinical data for analysis.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Demographic characteristics of patients with colorectal adenomas checklist1 yearAge (years), sex (man/woman), family history of colorectal cancer (in first-degree relatives, including parents and siblings), history of smoking (never, past, current), history of alcohol consumption (never, past, current), regular use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs
weight (kilograms)1 yearClinicopathological characteristics of patients with colorectal adenomas
height (meters)1 yearClinicopathological characteristics of patients with colorectal adenomas

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
The important high-risk factors of colorectal advanced adenoma1 yearThe important high-risk factors with p value \< 0.05

Countries

China

Contacts

Primary ContactHong Zhu, MD
zhuhong1059@126.com

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026