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Prospective Validation of a Points Score System Predicting 30-day Survival

Prospective Validation of a Points Score System Predicting 30-day Survival for Patients With Metastatic Cancer Receiving Palliative Radiation Therapy

Status
Recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT05100342
Enrollment
214
Registered
2021-10-29
Start date
2022-09-12
Completion date
2028-07-01
Last updated
2026-09-17

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Metastatic Cancer

Keywords

palliative radiation, radiation therapy

Brief summary

This is a one-stage single-arm phase II clinical trial designed to prospectively test the survival prediction tool as developed by Lee et al on patients referred to radiation oncology for palliative treatments. Survival prediction score based on objective data including laboratory values, attendance to emergency room, and primary cancer origin will be assigned to each patient at time of enrollment.

Detailed description

This is a one-stage single-arm phase II clinical trial designed to prospectively test the survival prediction tool as developed by Lee et al (section 10.0) on patients referred to radiation oncology for palliative treatments. Survival prediction score based on objective data including laboratory values, visits to emergency room, and primary cancer origin will be assigned to each patient at time of enrollment. The prediction tool assigns a score from 0-20, with 20 indicating the worst survival prognosis; the investigators have designated mortality risk groups as follows: low-risk (score 0-6), intermediate-risk (score 7-13), and high-risk (score 14-20). Patient survival and quality of life will then be monitored at 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day intervals. The study will test the hypothesis that patients with a score of \>14 have a less than 20% chance of survival at 30 days. Primary Objective: 1\. To evaluate 30-day survival of patients with a score of \>14 (high-risk group) Secondary Objectives: 1. To evaluate 30-day, 90-day, and 365-day survival of patients in low-risk (score 0-6), and intermediate-risk (score 7-13) groups, and to evaluate 90-day and 365-day survival of patients in high-risk group (score \>14) 2. To evaluate patient-reported quality of life at the above intervals using the validated FACIT-Pal-14© questionnaire (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy - Palliative Care 14 Item Version)

Interventions

DIAGNOSTIC_TESTPoint score prediction tool for 30-day survival

This tool requires laboratory data including white blood cell count, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, blood urea nitrogen, bilirubin, albumin, lactate dehydrogenase, and red cell distribution, as well as number of attendances to the emergency room in the past 100 days, the site receiving radiation therapy, and the primary cancer type. Each data point correlates with a point value, which are tallied to generate a final score. The scores range from 0-20, with 0 giving the highest chance for survival at 30 days and 20 giving the lowest chance for survival at 30 days

Sponsors

Indiana University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
CASE_CONTROL
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

1. Age ≥ 18 at time of consent 2. Ability to provide written informed consent 3. Cancer diagnosis referred to Radiation Oncology for palliative radiation therapy 4. Patients who either choose to not receive radiation therapy or not recommended to receive radiation therapy will remain eligible 5. Those patients who undergo a course of palliative radiation therapy, it is not the requirement of this study to complete that course of treatment. Those who prematurely end their course of treatment will remain eligible Note: Patients who ultimately either choose to not receive radiation or not recommended to receive radiation will remain eligible Note: Patients who ultimately do not complete prescribed radiation will remain eligible

Exclusion criteria

1. Patients who are unable to participate in follow up visits per investigator discretion (virtual/phone follow up is permitted) 2. Patients who are receiving definitive/curative course of radiation therapy 3. Patients who self-report as pregnant or nursing

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
30-day survival of patients with a score of >14 (high-risk group)From baseline to 30 days after enrollmentThe percentage of patients with a score of \>14 who are living at 30 days following enrollment

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
The percentage of patients in each risk group (low, intermediate, and high) who are living at 30 days, 90 days, and 365 days following enrollment30 days, 90 days and 365 days after enrollmentReview of medical records.
Tabulated patient-report quality of life surveys at 30 days, 90 days, and 365 daysBaseline, 30 days, 90 days and 365 days after enrollmentUsing the FACIT-Pal-14© questionnaire (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy - Palliative Care 14 Item Version

Countries

United States

Contacts

CONTACTJessica Anders
jemlynn@iu.edu(317) 274-0220
CONTACTNaoyuki G Saito, MD PhD
PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATORNaoyuki Saito, MD PhD

Indiana University

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Sep 18, 2026