Covid19
Conditions
Keywords
Estradiol, Progesterone, Covid19, Estrogen, Hormones, Progestogens, Depo-Estradiol, Prometrium, Micronized Progesterone
Brief summary
The purpose of this study is to determine to what extent a short systemic steroid therapy with estradiol and progesterone, administered early to hospitalized and confirmed COVID-19 positive patients of both sexes in addition to standard of care (SOC) can reduce the severity of symptoms and outcomes compared to SOC alone.
Detailed description
Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Associated Corona Virus (SARS-CoV-2), causing COVID-19, has killed over 2.8 million people globally, including 550,000 in the US as of March 2021. Although, the vaccination campaign is ramping up, vaccination hesitancy in the United States represents up to 25-30% of the population, and hospitalizations and deaths are still at the level of 2020. Apart from corticosteroids, most available therapeutic options are at best marginally efficient in reducing disease severity and mortality and extremely expensive. Therefore, the systematic investigation of clinically approved drugs is a priority in order to determine what does improve the disease and invest resources to go to full-scale production. Our current understanding of the disease is that COVID-19 deaths result from an inappropriate immune response with outpouring of pro-inflammatory chemokines leading to lung infiltration and hyperactivation of monocytes and macrophages producing pro-inflammatory cytokines (cytokine storm), resulting in lung edema, reduced gas exchange, and ultimately leading to acute respiratory distress syndrome and multiorgan failure. Men with COVID-19 have a uniformly more severe outcome than women. In series from China, Europe and the U.S., COVID-19 mortality was consistently 1.5 to 2-fold higher in men than in women, suggesting that female biological sex is protecting women from COVID-19 mortality. It is established that women exhibit heightened immune responses to viral infections compared to men, which is at least partially due to the genetic benefit of gene dosage in X-linked immune-response genes. Ovarian steroids, however, also play a protective role. In New York City, among 5700 hospitalized patients, the female protection from COVID-19 mortality was observed at all ages, but was more pronounced in subjects under 50 years of age (18% mortality in women) compared to patients \> 50 years of age (40.5% mortality in women), suggesting that ovarian steroids are involved in mitigating COVID-19 mortality in pre-menopausal women. Further, the analysis of electronic health records of over 68,000 COVID-19 patients revealed that estrogen therapy is associated with more than 50% reduction in mortality. The main female steroids, 17β-estradiol and progesterone exhibit potent immuno-modulatory and anti-inflammatory actions via estrogen and progesterone receptors expressed in all immune cells, including epithelial cells, macrophages, dendritic cells, cluster of differentiation 4 (CD4+) and cluster of differentiation 8 (CD8+) lymphocytes, and B cells. Progesterone also acts partially via the glucocorticoid receptor. Together estradiol and progesterone produce a state of decreased innate immune cells production of proinflammatory cytokines, enhanced T cells anti-inflammatory responses and immune tolerance, and enhanced B-cell-mediated antibody production. The National Institutes of Health (NIH) COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines Panel recommends the use of dexamethasone 6 mg per day for up to 10 days or until hospital Discharge (whichever comes first) as standard of care (SOC) for the treatment of hospitalized COVID-19 patients who require supplemental oxygen but who are not mechanically ventilated and for the treatment of hospitalized patients who are mechanically ventilated. Remdesivir is SOC at Tulane for COVID-19 patients who require supplemental oxygen but who are not mechanically ventilated. We believe that in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, a short treatment with the combination estradiol and progesterone, administered early and as a prevention in addition to SOC, will prevent or mitigate the cytokine storm while increasing antibody production and prevent severe outcomes, without side effects. Therefore, it will provide steroid immunomodulation without immunosuppression. The advantage of repurposing estradiol and progesterone compounds is the depth of knowledge regarding their clinical efficacy and toxicity that has accumulated from decades of clinical and basic studies. Estradiol and progesterone are widely available in hospitals, inexpensive, manufacturable to scale, and can be prescribed immediately.
Interventions
Standard of Care along with Estradiol Cypionate 5mg intramuscular injection at admission.
Standard of Care consistent with the National Institutes of Health (NIH) COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines
Standard of Care along with Progesterone 200mg by mouth daily for 5 days starting at admission.
Sponsors
Study design
Masking description
Double-blinded clinical trial
Intervention model description
Randomized, placebo-controlled
Eligibility
Inclusion criteria
1. Hospitalization at Tulane Medical Center in the Department of General Internal Medicine and Geriatrics with COVID-19 (WHO Ordinal scale score 3-5) and confirmed by SARS-CoV-2 Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR). 2. Respiratory symptoms (fever, shortness of breath or cough) or abnormal lung exam or chest imaging characteristic of mild to severe COVID-19 pneumonia. 3. Patient and/or legally authorized representative (LAR) agrees to comply with study procedures and the collection of blood samples per protocol. 4. Patient and/or LAR agrees to be placed on prophylactic dose of anticoagulation for prevention of deep venous thrombosis (DVT) (if necessary). 5. Patient or legally authorized representative has signed informed consent. 6. Women of childbearing age with a negative pregnancy test on admission.
Exclusion criteria
1. Patient under 18 years of age. 2. Critical COVID-19 (respiratory failure requiring intubation and mechanical ventilation, shock, multi-organ failure). 3. Pregnant women confirmed by pregnancy test. 4. Women who are within six weeks of postpartum. 5. Patient is not hospitalized at Tulane Medical Center with confirmed COVID-19. 6. Patient included in another COVID-19 trial (excluding hydroxychloroquine and dexamethasone). 7. Women already treated by estrogen and or progestogen therapy two weeks prior to admission. 8. Men already treated by testosterone therapy prior to admission. 9. History of breast or endometrial cancer. 10. Abnormal genital bleeding. 11. Active or recent (e.g., within the past year) stroke or myocardial infarction. 12. History of blood clots including deep vein thrombosis related to clotting disease, or pulmonary emboli (prior to hospitalization). 13. History of liver dysfunction or disease. 14. Patients with end-stage renal disease 15. Patients taking inhibitors of CYP3A4 such as erythromycin, clarithromycin, ketoconazole, itraconazole, and ritonavir. 16. Patients taking St. John's Wort preparations (Hypericum perforatum), phenobarbital, carbamazepine, and rifampin. 17. Patients within 6 weeks of major orthopedic surgery.
Design outcomes
Primary
| Measure | Time frame | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Number of Participants With Scores 1 or 2 on the 9-point World Health Organization (WHO) Ordinal Scale at Discharge, Measured up to Day 21 | At discharge, measured up to Day 21 | The proportion will be calculated based on WHO ordinal scale for clinical improvement. The scale is from 0 to 8, with a higher score indicating worse clinical status. * Uninfected: No clinical or virological evidence of infection 0 * Ambulatory: No limitation of activities 1 Limitation of activities 2 * Hospitalized Mild Disease Hospitalized, no oxygen therapy 3 Oxygen by mask or nasal prongs 4 * Hospitalized Severe Disease Non-invasive ventilation or high flow oxygen 5 Intubation and mechanical ventilation 6 Ventilation + additional organ support - 7 pressors, Renal Replacement Therapy (RRT), Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO) * Dead Death 8 |
Secondary
| Measure | Time frame | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Readmission | Baseline to day 60 | The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the readmission rates. |
| Number of Patients Requiring Invasive Mechanical Ventilation | Baseline to day 60 | The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the number of patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation |
| Number of Days Death Occurred After Admission | Baseline to day 60 | The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28 and calculate number of deaths that occurred after admission. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the number of days death occurred after admission. |
| Length of Hospital Stay | Baseline to day 60 | The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the efficiency of treatment on length of hospital stay. |
| Grade 3 Adverse Events Occurrence | Baseline to day 60 | Subjects will be followed daily for 7 days after initiation of treatment for adverse events. The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the frequency and severity of adverse events in treatment arm vs. control arm. |
| Serious Adverse Events Occurrence | Baseline to day 60 | Subjects will be followed daily for 7 days after initiation of treatment for serious adverse events. The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the frequency of serious adverse events in treatment arm vs. control arm. |
| Number of Participants With Each Cause of Death | Baseline to day 60 | The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28 and determine the cause of death. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the cause of death. |
Countries
United States
Participant flow
Participants by arm
| Arm | Count |
|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm Standard of Care along with Estradiol Cypionate 5mg intramuscular injection at admission and Progesterone 200mg by mouth daily for 5 days starting at admission.
Estradiol Cypionate 5 mg/ml: Standard of Care along with Estradiol Cypionate 5mg intramuscular injection at admission.
Progesterone 200 mg Oral Capsule: Standard of Care along with Progesterone 200mg by mouth daily for 5 days starting at admission. | 5 |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm Standard of Care along with placebo-equivalent injection (1mL Normal Saline intramuscular injection) at admission and placebo-equivalent pill (folic acid 400 mg pill) daily for 5 days starting at admission.
Standard of Care consistent with the National Institutes of Health (NIH) COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines.
Placebo injection and placebo pill: Standard of Care consistent with the National Institutes of Health (NIH) COVID-19 Treatment Guidelines | 5 |
| Total | 10 |
Baseline characteristics
| Characteristic | Total | Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, Categorical <=18 years | 0 Participants | 0 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Age, Categorical >=65 years | 1 Participants | 1 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Age, Categorical Between 18 and 65 years | 9 Participants | 4 Participants | 5 Participants |
| Age, Continuous | 48.5 Years STANDARD_DEVIATION 12.78 | 51.4 Years STANDARD_DEVIATION 12.92 | 45.6 Years STANDARD_DEVIATION 13.41 |
| Alanine transaminase (ALT) | 66.4 Units/L STANDARD_DEVIATION 51.19 | 62.6 Units/L STANDARD_DEVIATION 60.01 | 70.2 Units/L STANDARD_DEVIATION 47.52 |
| Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) | 78.5 Units/L STANDARD_DEVIATION 64.53 | 78.8 Units/L STANDARD_DEVIATION 74.97 | 78.2 Units/L STANDARD_DEVIATION 61.22 |
| Body Mass Index | 31.63 Kg/m^2 STANDARD_DEVIATION 9.52 | 24.5 Kg/m^2 STANDARD_DEVIATION 5.47 | 38.76 Kg/m^2 STANDARD_DEVIATION 6.87 |
| Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) | 1.9 units on a scale STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.6 | 2.4 units on a scale STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.82 | 1.4 units on a scale STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.34 |
| Diastolic blood pressure | 83.3 mmHg STANDARD_DEVIATION 17.5 | 91 mmHg STANDARD_DEVIATION 18 | 75.6 mmHg STANDARD_DEVIATION 14.76 |
| Heart rate | 95.9 Beats per minute (Bpm) STANDARD_DEVIATION 12.04 | 94.2 Beats per minute (Bpm) STANDARD_DEVIATION 14.67 | 97.6 Beats per minute (Bpm) STANDARD_DEVIATION 10.19 |
| Neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) | 3.90 Ratio STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.84 | 3.96 Ratio STANDARD_DEVIATION 0.86 | 3.85 Ratio STANDARD_DEVIATION 2.61 |
| O2 saturation | 90.7 Percentage of O2 saturation STANDARD_DEVIATION 5.29 | 93 Percentage of O2 saturation STANDARD_DEVIATION 4.8 | 88.4 Percentage of O2 saturation STANDARD_DEVIATION 5.18 |
| Platelet count | 208.9 10^9 cells per liter STANDARD_DEVIATION 74.65 | 260 10^9 cells per liter STANDARD_DEVIATION 66.49 | 157.8 10^9 cells per liter STANDARD_DEVIATION 39.88 |
| Race (NIH/OMB) American Indian or Alaska Native | 0 Participants | 0 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Race (NIH/OMB) Asian | 0 Participants | 0 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Race (NIH/OMB) Black or African American | 7 Participants | 4 Participants | 3 Participants |
| Race (NIH/OMB) More than one race | 0 Participants | 0 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Race (NIH/OMB) Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander | 0 Participants | 0 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Race (NIH/OMB) Unknown or Not Reported | 0 Participants | 0 Participants | 0 Participants |
| Race (NIH/OMB) White | 3 Participants | 1 Participants | 2 Participants |
| Region of Enrollment United States | 10 participants | 5 participants | 5 participants |
| Sex: Female, Male Female | 5 Participants | 3 Participants | 2 Participants |
| Sex: Female, Male Male | 5 Participants | 2 Participants | 3 Participants |
| Smoking status Non smokers | 4 partipants | 1 partipants | 3 partipants |
| Smoking status Smokers | 6 partipants | 4 partipants | 2 partipants |
| Systolic Blood pressure | 140.1 mmHg STANDARD_DEVIATION 17.54 | 140.8 mmHg STANDARD_DEVIATION 18.21 | 139.4 mmHg STANDARD_DEVIATION 18.97 |
| Temperature | 99.32 Fahrenheit STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.5 | 98.38 Fahrenheit STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.33 | 100.26 Fahrenheit STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.07 |
| White blood Cells (WBC) | 6.5 10^9 cells per liter. STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.37 | 6.62 10^9 cells per liter. STANDARD_DEVIATION 0.72 | 6.38 10^9 cells per liter. STANDARD_DEVIATION 1.91 |
| World Health Organization (WHO) Score of 3 to 5 at randomization | 10 Participants | 5 Participants | 5 Participants |
Adverse events
| Event type | EG000 affected / at risk | EG001 affected / at risk |
|---|---|---|
| deaths Total, all-cause mortality | 0 / 5 | 1 / 5 |
| other Total, other adverse events | 0 / 5 | 1 / 5 |
| serious Total, serious adverse events | 0 / 5 | 1 / 5 |
Outcome results
Number of Participants With Scores 1 or 2 on the 9-point World Health Organization (WHO) Ordinal Scale at Discharge, Measured up to Day 21
The proportion will be calculated based on WHO ordinal scale for clinical improvement. The scale is from 0 to 8, with a higher score indicating worse clinical status. * Uninfected: No clinical or virological evidence of infection 0 * Ambulatory: No limitation of activities 1 Limitation of activities 2 * Hospitalized Mild Disease Hospitalized, no oxygen therapy 3 Oxygen by mask or nasal prongs 4 * Hospitalized Severe Disease Non-invasive ventilation or high flow oxygen 5 Intubation and mechanical ventilation 6 Ventilation + additional organ support - 7 pressors, Renal Replacement Therapy (RRT), Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation (ECMO) * Dead Death 8
Time frame: At discharge, measured up to Day 21
Population: Number of participants who achieved WHO score of 1 to 2 at discharge, measured up to Day 21
| Arm | Measure | Value (COUNT_OF_PARTICIPANTS) |
|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Number of Participants With Scores 1 or 2 on the 9-point World Health Organization (WHO) Ordinal Scale at Discharge, Measured up to Day 21 | 5 Participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Number of Participants With Scores 1 or 2 on the 9-point World Health Organization (WHO) Ordinal Scale at Discharge, Measured up to Day 21 | 4 Participants |
Grade 3 Adverse Events Occurrence
Subjects will be followed daily for 7 days after initiation of treatment for adverse events. The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the frequency and severity of adverse events in treatment arm vs. control arm.
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Subjects were followed daily for 7 days after initiation of treatment for adverse events. Medical records were reviewed from baseline to day 60 to determine frequency and severity of adverse events in treatment arm vs. control arm.
| Arm | Measure | Value (NUMBER) |
|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Grade 3 Adverse Events Occurrence | 0 Participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Grade 3 Adverse Events Occurrence | 0 Participants |
Length of Hospital Stay
The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the efficiency of treatment on length of hospital stay.
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Medical records were reviewed at admission to day 60 to determine length of stay.
| Arm | Measure | Value (MEAN) | Dispersion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Length of Hospital Stay | 7.2 Days | Standard Deviation 5.18 |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Length of Hospital Stay | 10.2 Days | Standard Deviation 7.53 |
Number of Days Death Occurred After Admission
The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28 and calculate number of deaths that occurred after admission. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the number of days death occurred after admission.
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Medical records were reviewed from baseline to day 60 to determine the number of days death occurred after admission. One person died on day 19 after admission in the control arm.
| Arm | Measure | Value (NUMBER) |
|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Number of Days Death Occurred After Admission | 19 Days |
Number of Participants With Each Cause of Death
The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28 and determine the cause of death. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the cause of death.
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Medical records were reviewed from baseline to day 60 to determine the cause of death that occurred after admission for all 10 participants.
| Arm | Measure | Group | Value (NUMBER) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Number of Participants With Each Cause of Death | Death from COVID-19 | 0 participants |
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Number of Participants With Each Cause of Death | Death from bacteremia | 0 participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Number of Participants With Each Cause of Death | Death from COVID-19 | 0 participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Number of Participants With Each Cause of Death | Death from bacteremia | 1 participants |
Number of Patients Requiring Invasive Mechanical Ventilation
The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the number of patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Medical records were reviewed baseline to day 60 to determine number of patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation
| Arm | Measure | Value (NUMBER) |
|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Number of Patients Requiring Invasive Mechanical Ventilation | 0 Participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Number of Patients Requiring Invasive Mechanical Ventilation | 1 Participants |
Readmission
The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the readmission rates.
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Medical records were reviewed from baseline to day 60 to determine readmission status
| Arm | Measure | Group | Value (NUMBER) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Readmission | COVID related readmission number | 0 participants |
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Readmission | Non-COVID related readmission number | 0 participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Readmission | COVID related readmission number | 0 participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Readmission | Non-COVID related readmission number | 1 participants |
Serious Adverse Events Occurrence
Subjects will be followed daily for 7 days after initiation of treatment for serious adverse events. The investigators will review patients' medical records on day 14 and day 28. Then, the investigators will call patients on day 60. This will be done to determine the frequency of serious adverse events in treatment arm vs. control arm.
Time frame: Baseline to day 60
Population: Subjects were followed daily for 7 days after initiation of treatment for serious adverse events. Medical records were reviewed from baseline to day 60 to determine frequency of serious adverse events in treatment arm vs. control arm.
| Arm | Measure | Value (NUMBER) |
|---|---|---|
| Estradiol and Progesterone Arm | Serious Adverse Events Occurrence | 0 Participants |
| Normal Saline and Folic Acid Arm | Serious Adverse Events Occurrence | 1 Participants |