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The Establishment of a Survival Prediction Model for ER Positive / HER-2 Negative Advanced Breast Cancer

A Prospective Cohort Study: the Establishment of a Survival Prediction Model for ER Positive / HER-2 Negative Advanced Breast Cancer

Status
UNKNOWN
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT04683757
Enrollment
288
Registered
2020-12-24
Start date
2020-01-01
Completion date
2024-12-31
Last updated
2020-12-24

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Breast Cancer

Keywords

Breast Cancer, a Survival Prediction Model

Brief summary

This project is a prospective, clinical cohort study initiated by researchers to study the high-risk factors affecting the overall survival of newly diagnosed ER + / HER2 - advanced breast cancer patients and to establish a prediction model of ER + / HER2 - advanced breast cancer patients affecting overall survival. This project is the first prospective prediction model for the survival of patients with advanced breast cancer, and it is also the first time to establish a survival prediction model for ER-positive / HER2 negative advanced breast cancer suitable for China's national conditions. According to the survival outcome predicted by the model, the newly diagnosed ER positive / HER2 negative advanced breast cancer was divided into three groups: low, medium, and high risk, which provided an important theoretical basis for further design of randomized controlled clinical research and guidance of individualized precise treatment scheme for different groups in the future.

Interventions

OTHEREstablishment of a Survival Prediction Model

a nomogram to predict the survival of patients with ER positive / HER-2 negative advanced breast cancer

Sponsors

Ying Wang
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Observational model
COHORT
Time perspective
PROSPECTIVE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
FEMALE
Age
18 Years to 70 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

1. At the time of signing the informed consent form, 18 years old ≤ 70 years old, female 2. ER positive breast cancer confirmed by pathology: ER positive (≥ 1%) by immunohistochemistry 3. Newly diagnosed advanced patients, including patients with early breast cancer who have evidence of recurrence and metastasis after adjuvant therapy and patients with stage IV breast cancer at the first visit 4. Patients who are willing to receive follow-up treatment in the research center.

Exclusion criteria

1. ErbB-2 gene amplification was recorded by fish (defined as HER2 / CEP17 ratio ≥ 2) or chromogenic in situ hybridization (CISH) or IHC (defined as ihc3 +, or ihc2 + confirmed by fish or CISH) was used to record HER2 positive tumors. 2. Any form of anti-cancer treatment has been carried out for recurrent or metastatic lesions 3. Combined with other malignant tumors or had other malignant tumors in recent 5 years 4. Patients with nervous system disorders caused by diseases or obvious mental disorders will affect patients' right to know, compliance or make them in a dangerous state 5. Patients with life expectancy less than 3 months

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
overall survival,OS5 yearsThe time from the beginning of treatment to the death of the patient
Tumor specific survival time, CSS5 yearsThe follow-up started from the first day of confirmed recurrence and metastasis. The end point of follow-up was the death caused by tumor related causes.

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Progression Free Survival,PFS2 yearsThe time from the beginning of treatment to the progression or death of the patient.
5-year survival rate5 yearsthe survival rate in 5 years

Countries

China

Contacts

Primary ContactYing Dr. Wang, doctor
wangy556@mail.sysu.edu.cn86-20-34070499
Backup ContactJianli Zhao
zhaojli5@mail.sysu.edu.cn86-20-34070870

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026