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Using a Real-Time Risk Prediction Model to Predict Pediatric Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) Events

Using a Real-Time Risk Prediction Model to Predict Pediatric Venous Thromboembolism Events

Status
Completed
Phases
NA
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT04574895
Enrollment
17427
Registered
2020-10-05
Start date
2020-11-02
Completion date
2023-12-01
Last updated
2023-12-19

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Deep Vein Thrombosis, Pediatrics, Pulmonary Embolism, Venous Thromboembolism

Keywords

Pediatric Hematology, Venous Thromboembolism, Risk Prediction Model, General Pediatrics

Brief summary

The study will evaluate the effectiveness of a novel, real-time risk prediction model for identifying pediatric patients at risk for developing in-hospital blood clots (or venous thromboembolism \[VTE\]) based on data easily extracted from the electronic medical record. The study will assess whether using the risk percentages for developing VTE derived from the model increases the number of high-risk patients screened by the pediatric hematology team, which may may lead to an overall reduction in the number of pediatric VTEs seen at Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt.

Detailed description

VTE risk factors in adult hospitalized patients are well established and prevention strategies have been implemented for many years. Unfortunately, VTE prevention guidelines are not well established in children, and the pathophysiology of pediatric VTE is sufficiently different from adults that adult studies cannot be extrapolated to pediatrics. There are no randomized trials in pediatrics to determine whether a risk prediction model helps prevent pediatric VTEs. A risk prediction model was developed that can be applied at admission and updated daily to predict pediatric patients at higher risk for developing a VTE. This model was developed from electronically extracted data from all admissions to the Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt from January 1, 2010 to October 31, 2017. Cases were identified based on ICD-9/10 codes. Potential covariates were identified from previous studies and known risk factors for VTE development. The variables with the highest adjusted odds ratio (OR) for developing VTE were history of thrombosis (OR 8.7, 95% confidence interval (CI) 6.6-11.3, p\<0.01), presence of a central venous line (OR 4.9, 95%CI 4.0-5.8, p\<0.01), and cardiology consultation (OR 4.0, 95%CI 3.3-4.8, p\<0.01). Additional significant variables include whether a blood gas was performed, infectious disease consultation, diagnosis of cancer, age, mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration (MCHC), red cell distribution width (RDW), lactate, and whether surgery was performed. There have been several smaller pediatric VTE risk prediction models that have been developed and published. However, none of these have been evaluated for efficacy in a prospective trial, and none of these studies have used a randomized trial approach to evaluate benefit in identifying pediatric patients at high risk for developing VTE. Therefore, the investigators are performing a randomized, pragmatic trial to evaluate the pediatric VTE risk prediction model and its efficacy at predicting pediatric patients at higher risk for developing a VTE.

Interventions

OTHERHematology Review

VTE study team will review VTE risk percentages provided via automated report daily on weekdays and approach the primary team directly if the patient is appropriate for clinical antithrombotic interventions.

Sponsors

Vanderbilt University Medical Center
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Intervention model
PARALLEL
Primary purpose
SCREENING
Masking
SINGLE (Outcomes Assessor)

Masking description

Team biostatistician will remain blinded to the group assignments for performing outcome statistics.

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
0 Years to 21 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

1\. All pediatric patients 0-21 years of age who are admitted to an inpatient unit of Monroe Carell Jr. Children's Hospital at Vanderbilt will be included in the study.

Exclusion criteria

1. Receiving prophylactic or therapeutic dosing of anticoagulants, including enoxaparin, warfarin, bivalirudin, apixaban, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, and edoxaban. 2. Patients admitted under observation status

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Number of VTE Events1 yearNumber of VTE events per hospital admission encounter, per study arm. A VTE event will be defined as an acute venous thromboembolic event (e.g. deep vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, etc).

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Total Number of Patients Started on Anticoagulation1 yearTotal number of patients, without contraindications to anticoagulant medications as described by the prescriber information for heparin and enoxaparin determined by the consulting hematologist, who are begun on prophylactic anticoagulation, by study arm
Total Number of High-Risk Patients Started on Anticoagulation1 yearTotal number of high-risk patients, without contraindications to anticoagulant medications as described by the prescriber information for heparin and enoxaparin determined by the consulting hematologist, who are begun on prophylactic anticoagulation, by study arm
Total Number of Patients Started On Anticoagulation If It Was Recommended1 yearTotal number of patients, without contraindications to anticoagulant medications as described by the prescriber information for heparin and enoxaparin determined by the consulting hematologist, who are begun on anticoagulation medications compared to the total number of patients for which initiation of anticoagulation was recommended by the VTE research team
Total Number of Bleeding Events1 yearTotal number of bleeding events per number of patients begun on prophylactic anticoagulation, by study arm, during hospitalization. The bleeding events will be defined and scored using the WHO bleeding scale. Grade 1 (petechial bleeding) and 2 (mild blood loss) will be considered adverse events and grade 3 (bleeding requiring transfusion) and 4 (fatal bleeding) will be considered serious adverse events.

Countries

United States

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 11, 2026