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Study to Develop a Prediction Model to Understand the Effect of Low-dose Aspirin on Cancer That Develops in the Colon and/or the Rectum, Diseases That Affects the Heart or Blood Vessels and Safety Outcomes in European Countries. The Study is Also Called PEACOS Model EU

Predictive Modelling of the Effects of Regular Low-dose Aspirin on COlorectal Cancer, Cardiovascular Disease and Safety Outcomes in Europe: PEACOCS Model EU

Status
Completed
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT03904732
Acronym
PEACOCS
Enrollment
2000000
Registered
2019-04-05
Start date
2019-04-15
Completion date
2020-01-31
Last updated
2021-02-01

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Colorectal Cancer, Cardiovascular Disease, Bleeding

Brief summary

In this study researchers want to learn more about the effect of low-dose Aspirin on cancer that develops in the colon (the longest part of the large intestine) and/or the rectum (the last several inches of the large intestine before the anus), diseases that affects the heart or blood vessels and safety outcomes. Study will focus on two groups of adults aged 50-59 and 60-69 years having an increased risk of heart and/or blood vessel disease who are taking either low-dose aspirin or no low-dose aspirin for heart and/or blood vessel disease prevention. The model will be based on information publicly available either on government organization websites or in scientific journals. Based on these data researchers will focus in a first step to build a model of 2 million adults (1 million for each age group) for the UK population and in a second step, the model will be modified for use with other European countries, to reflect the epidemiology and guidelines for aspirin use in these countries.

Detailed description

Observational Study Model is selected as Other - Reason: Individual-level state transition model simulating the number of events of CRC, CVD, safety events and deaths in hypothetical cohorts of 1 million adults aged 50-59 years and 1 million adults aged 60-69 years followed for 20 years or till death, whichever comes first. The hypothetical cohorts are reflective of a population eligible for taking aspirin for primary or secondary CVD prevention. Time Perspective is also selected as Other \- Reason: Individual-level state transition model built mimicking the UK population using data published in scientific international peer-reviewed journals or published data from government agencies. In a second phase, the model results will be extrapolated to other EU countries, modifying the model parameters to reflect the other EU countries epidemiology.

Interventions

Low-dose acetylsalicylic acid, Aspirin (75-150 mg)

Sponsors

Bayer
Lead SponsorINDUSTRY

Study design

Observational model
OTHER
Time perspective
OTHER

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
50 Years to 69 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

\- European populations (UK and other European countries) of adults aged 50-59 and 60-69 years eligible for using aspirin for primary or secondary CVD prevention. Subjects are eligible when they have no contra-indications, and are at increased risk of CVD (primary prevention) or have suffered from a previous CVD event

Exclusion criteria

\- None

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Number of myocardial infarction and ischaemic strokeUp to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of death due to myocardial infarction or due to ischaemic strokeUp to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of colorectal cancer (CRC)Up to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of death due to CRCUp to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of severe gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding requiring hospitalizationUp to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH)Up to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of symptomatic peptic ulcers requiring hospitalizationUp to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population
Number of deaths due to any other causeUp to 20 yearsCalculated results using a mimicked population

Countries

United Kingdom

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026