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Validation of an Artificial Intelligence-based Algorithm for Skeletal Age Assessment

Prospective, Multi-Center, Randomized Controlled Trial for Skeletal Age Assessment AI Model

Status
Completed
Phases
NA
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT03530098
Enrollment
1903
Registered
2018-05-21
Start date
2018-07-12
Completion date
2019-08-31
Last updated
2021-06-09

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Bone Age

Keywords

Age Determination by Skeleton, Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Prospective, Clinical Validation

Brief summary

The purpose of this study is to understand the effects of using an Artificial Intelligence algorithm for skeletal age estimation as a computer-aided diagnosis (CADx) system. In this prospective real-time study, the investigators will send de-identified hand radiographs to the Artificial Intelligence algorithm and surface the output of this algorithm to the radiologist, who will incorporate this information with their normal workflows to make an estimation of the bone age. All radiologists involved in the study will be trained to recognize the surfaced prediction to be the output of the Artificial Intelligence algorithm. The radiologists' diagnosis will be final and considered independent to the output of the algorithm.

Detailed description

The investigators are targeting to study the effect of their Artificial Intelligence algorithm on the radiologists' estimation of skeletal age. Currently, radiologists make the estimation using only the radiographic images and health records. As part of this study, the radiologists will estimate skeletal age from radiographic images, health records, and the output of the CADx algorithm. The investigators wish to understand how radiologists using the Artificial Intelligence algorithm compare to radiologists who do not for the specific task of estimating skeletal age. This study is organized as a multi-institutional randomized control trial with two arms - experiment (receiving the Artificial Intelligence algorithm's output) and control (no intervention). Both of these arms will be compared to a clinical reference standard (gold standard) composed of a panel of radiologists. The metric of comparison will be Mean Absolute Distance (MAD). The investigators plan to use statistical tests such as the t-test to determine any statistically-significant difference in skeletal age estimation between the two groups. The investigators have recruited and analyzed data from a sample size of 1600 exams. Patients getting these exams will not undergo any research procedures that deviate from the current standard practices.

Interventions

DEVICEBoneAgeModel

BoneAgeModel is an Artificial Intelligence tool that takes in a hand radiograph and gender, and outputs the skeletal (bone) age. The intervention involves using this tool as a factor in the clinical decision making process of the participating radiologists. The radiologist's decision will be considered final.

Sponsors

Stanford University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Intervention model
PARALLEL
Primary purpose
DIAGNOSTIC
Masking
NONE

Intervention model description

A hand radiograph will be randomly assigned to one of two groups - control and experiment. In the control group, participating radiologists will diagnose the exam using the current standard of care (no intervention). In the experiment group, the radiologists will factor in the output of the Artificial Intelligence algorithm in their skeletal age estimation. In all cases, the decision of the radiologist will be considered final.

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

Exams that meet the following inclusion criteria will be included: (1) exams read by radiologists who interpret pediatric skeletal age exams and verbally consent to participate (2) exams that contain a procedure code or study description indicative of a skeletal age exam. Exams containing more than one radiograph will not be included. Exams for which a trainee provides a preliminary interpretation will be excluded. No further

Exclusion criteria

will be applied on the basis of image quality metrics or manufacturers. No

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Paired Difference of Skeletal Age EstimateUp to 10 minutes to acquire the scan; up to 2 days to complete diagnosis reviewMean absolute difference between dictated final impressions (baseline measure by Radiologist) and the consensus determination of a panel of radiologists following review.

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Time for DiagnosisUp to approximately 4 minutesAmount of time taken by radiologists when using the BoneAgeModel as compared to when they are not.

Countries

United States

Participant flow

Participants by arm

ArmCount
Control (Without-AI)
Diagnosis by radiologists made according to current standard of care methods.
739
Experiment (With-AI)
Diagnosis by radiologists informed by BoneAgeModel AI algorithm incorporated into normal radiologist workflows and considered as a factor in the clinical decision making process.
792
Total1,531

Baseline characteristics

CharacteristicControl (Without-AI)Experiment (With-AI)Total
Age, Continuous11.8 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.6
11.5 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.6
11.7 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.6
Age, Customized
0-4 years
12 Participants14 Participants26 Participants
Age, Customized
>12-16 years
331 Participants338 Participants669 Participants
Age, Customized
>16-20 years
75 Participants57 Participants132 Participants
Age, Customized
>20 years
5 Participants3 Participants8 Participants
Age, Customized
>4-8 years
110 Participants131 Participants241 Participants
Age, Customized
>8-12 years
206 Participants249 Participants455 Participants
Clinical histories
Congenital/syndrome
9 Participants12 Participants21 Participants
Clinical histories
Endocrine
391 Participants430 Participants821 Participants
Clinical histories
Medical
16 Participants17 Participants33 Participants
Clinical histories
More than one category
20 Participants17 Participants37 Participants
Clinical histories
Not available
217 Participants241 Participants458 Participants
Clinical histories
Orthopedic
82 Participants63 Participants145 Participants
Clinical histories
Other
4 Participants12 Participants16 Participants
Race and Ethnicity Not Collected0 Participants
Region of Enrollment
United States
739 participants792 participants1531 participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
338 Participants359 Participants697 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Male
401 Participants433 Participants834 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (categorical)
0-4 years
21 Participants17 Participants38 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (categorical)
>12-16 years
344 Participants362 Participants706 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (categorical)
>16-20 years
73 Participants59 Participants132 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (categorical)
>20 years
0 Participants0 Participants0 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (categorical)
>4-8 years
110 Participants131 Participants241 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (categorical)
>8-12 years
191 Participants223 Participants414 Participants
Skeletal age final impression (mean)11.6 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.6
11.4 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.5
11.5 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 3.5

Adverse events

Event typeEG000
affected / at risk
EG001
affected / at risk
deaths
Total, all-cause mortality
0 / 9390 / 964
other
Total, other adverse events
0 / 9390 / 964
serious
Total, serious adverse events
0 / 9390 / 964

Outcome results

Primary

Paired Difference of Skeletal Age Estimate

Mean absolute difference between dictated final impressions (baseline measure by Radiologist) and the consensus determination of a panel of radiologists following review.

Time frame: Up to 10 minutes to acquire the scan; up to 2 days to complete diagnosis review

Population: Primary analysis set: Participants with ground-truth labeled exam results and no bone deformity.~Ground-truth labeled: exam was interpreted by a panel of 4 radiologists and their interpretations were averaged to determine a final label.

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)
Control (Without-AI)Paired Difference of Skeletal Age Estimate5.95 months
Experiment (With-AI)Paired Difference of Skeletal Age Estimate5.36 months
p-value: 0.0495% CI: [-1.14, -0.04]t-test, 2 sided
Secondary

Time for Diagnosis

Amount of time taken by radiologists when using the BoneAgeModel as compared to when they are not.

Time frame: Up to approximately 4 minutes

Population: Primary analysis set: Participants with ground-truth labeled exam results and no bone deformity.~Ground-truth labeled: exam was interpreted by a panel of 4 radiologists and their interpretations were averaged to determine a final label.

ArmMeasureValue (MEDIAN)
Control (Without-AI)Time for Diagnosis142 seconds
Experiment (With-AI)Time for Diagnosis102 seconds
p-value: 0.001Wilcoxon rank-sum test

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 14, 2026