Skip to content

The Impact of Medicare Bundled Payments

The Impact of Medicare Bundled Payments: Evidence From a Nationwide Randomized Evaluation for Lower Extremity Joint Replacement

Status
Completed
Phases
NA
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT03407885
Enrollment
196
Registered
2018-01-23
Start date
2016-04-30
Completion date
2022-02-28
Last updated
2022-03-03

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Arthroplasty, Replacement

Brief summary

Bundled payments (BP) are a key part of Medicare's shift away from the traditional fee-for-service (FFS) payment model. The investigators propose to study a nationwide randomized-controlled trial (RCT) of bundled payments for knee and hip replacements that was designed and implemented by CMS and launched in April 2016. Randomization was conducted at the Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) level with 67 MSAs and about 800 hospitals assigned to the treatment group. The investigators will examine the impact of bundled payments on Medicare spending, utilization, and quality. Study findings should be directly relevant for the design of payments for knee and hip replacements, two common and expensive medical procedures. Average impacts, as well as variation in impact across types of providers and markets may also shed light on economic mechanisms, which should be relevant for bundled payment initiatives under consideration for other medical services.

Interventions

OTHERBundled payments for knee and hip replacement

The bundled payment model holds acute care hospitals (ACHs) financially responsible for the spending and quality of an entire episode of care for two types of hospital admissions: MS-DRG 469 and 470. An episode begins with an ACH stay that results in a discharge in one of the two DRGs, and ends 90 days after discharge. Before each performance year begins, hospitals receive target prices from CMS, determined by historical hospital and regional episode expenditures. Hospitals are eligible for reconciliation payment from CMS if they spend less than the target prices for an episode, provided that they met an acceptable quality standard. Conversely, they are responsible for paying the difference if they spend more than the target prices.

Sponsors

Harvard University
CollaboratorOTHER
University of Chicago
CollaboratorOTHER
Dartmouth College
CollaboratorOTHER
Amy Finkelstein
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Intervention model
PARALLEL
Primary purpose
HEALTH_SERVICES_RESEARCH
Masking
NONE

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Acute care hospital paid under the inpatient prospective payment system (IPPS) * Hospital admission for major joint replacement or reattachment of lower extremity with and without major complications or comorbidities (MS-DRG 469 and 470)

Exclusion criteria

* MSA

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Share of LEJR admissions discharged to institutional Post-Acute Care (PAC)At hospital discharge up to 3 daysShare of lower extremity joint replacement (LEJR) index admissions discharged to institutional post-acute care facilities (i.e. skilled nursing facilities (SNF), long term care hospitals (LTCH) or inpatient rehabilitation facilities (IRF)). LEJR index admissions are eligible admissions at acute care hospitals (ACH) that result in a discharge in either DRG 469 or 470.

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Number of days in Institutional PAC during episodeBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admissionnumber of days in institutional PAC facilities (sum of length of stays in SNF, LTCH and IRF)
Total covered Medicare payments during episodeBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admissionTotal covered Medicare payments are defined as the total amount of Medicare Part A and part B Fee-for-Service (FFS) payments that are included in the bundle. Note that, as defined, total covered Medicare payments are the payments that would be made in the absence of Bundled Payments (i.e. payments that would occur under FFS Medicare). These are counterfactual for the treatment MSAs. If the data become available, the investigators plan to also look at actual payments made during the episode (which would include any reconciliation payments or repayments to or from hospitals in the treatment MSAs).
Share of LEJR admissions discharged to any Post Acute Care (PAC)At hospital discharge up to 3 daysShare of LEJR index admissions discharged to any PAC, which includes Institutional Post Acute Care (SNF, LTCH, IRF) plus home health agency. LEJR index admissions are eligible admissions at acute care hospitals (ACH) that result in a discharge in either DRG 469 or 470.
Total covered Medicare payments for any PAC during episodeBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admission
Total beneficiary payments owed out of pocket during episodeBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admission
Total covered Medicare payments for Institutional PAC during episodeBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admission

Other

MeasureTime frameDescription
1 year total covered Medicare paymentsone year since index admission
1 year mortalityone year since index admission
Complexity of patient mix for LEJR procedures, measured by patient demographicsDuration of hospital stay - average 3 daysThe complexity of patient mix for LEJR procedures is measured by the projected episode payment using patient demographics. The investigators will generate projected episode payment based on coefficients from a regression of episode payment on patient demographics in the pre-period, controlling for MSA fixed effect. The set of patient demographics include fully interacted five-year-age-bin, race, and sex dummies, dummy for Medicaid status, and dummy for disability.
1 year outpatient opioid useone year since index admission
1 year all-cause readmissionone year since index admission
Any THA/TKA complicationBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admissionThe total hip arthroplasty/total knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA) complication measure is a facility-level risk-standardized 90-day complication rate for total hip and total knee arthroplasty and is part of the targeted quality measure. However this component of the targeted quality measure is a three-year moving average. While it may not be feasible to replicate the measure, the investigators will code the underlying the eight complications, which are heart attack, pneumonia, or sepsis/septicemia/shock within seven days of admission, surgical site bleeding, pulmonary embolism, or death within 30 days of admission, and mechanical complications or periprosthetic joint/wound infection within 90 days of admission. The proposed measure is an indicator for whether any of the eight THA/TKA complications occur.
Number of THA/TKA complicationsBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admissionThe total hip arthroplasty/total knee arthroplasty (THA/TKA) complication measure is a facility-level risk-standardized 90-day complication rate for total hip and total knee arthroplasty and is part of the targeted quality measure. However this component of the targeted quality measure is a three-year moving average. While it may not be feasible to replicate the measure, the investigators will code the underlying the eight complications, which are heart attack, pneumonia, or sepsis/septicemia/shock within seven days of admission, surgical site bleeding, pulmonary embolism, or death within 30 days of admission, and mechanical complications or periprosthetic joint/wound infection within 90 days of admission. The proposed measure is the number of THA/TKA complications that occur.
Share of LEJR admissions with an ER visit within 90-days of discharge from index admissionBegins with index admission and ends 90 days post-discharge from index admission
90-day all-cause readmission90 days post-discharge from index admission
Number of covered proceduresDuration of hospital stay - average 3 days
Complexity of patient mix for LEJR procedures, measured by patient demographics and comorbiditiesDuration of hospital stay - average 3 daysThe complexity of patient mix for LEJR procedures is measured by the projected episode payment using patient characteristic, including both demographic and comorbidity measures. The investigators will generate projected episode payment based on coefficients from a regression of episode payment on patient characteristics in the pre-period, controlling for MSA fixed effect. The set of patient characteristics include fully interacted five-year-age-bin, race, and sex dummies, dummy for Medicaid status, dummy for disability, dummies for Charlson comorbidities, and dummy for major complication or comorbidity (MCC).

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 23, 2026