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Simvastatin in Preventing Liver Cancer in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis

Statin Therapy to Reduce Disease Progression From Liver Cirrhosis to Cancer

Status
Completed
Phases
Phase 2
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT02968810
Enrollment
52
Registered
2016-11-21
Start date
2017-06-21
Completion date
2026-07-07
Last updated
2026-09-09

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Cirrhosis, Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Brief summary

This phase II trial studies how well simvastatin works in preventing liver cancer in patients with liver cirrhosis. Simvastatin may stop the growth of cancer cells by blocking some of the enzymes needed for cell growth.

Detailed description

PRIMARY OBJECTIVE: I. To evaluate the effect of a simvastatin intervention versus placebo on the change in serum AFP-L3% from baseline to 6 months following treatment initiation in patients with liver cirrhosis who have a current model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) =\< 20. SECONDARY OBJECTIVES: I. To evaluate the effect of a simvastatin intervention versus placebo at 6 months from baseline on the change in: Ia. Serum AFP; Ib. Serum IL-6; Ic. Serum deoxycholic acid; Id. Liver stiffness; Ie. Fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4) score; If. MELD score. EXPLORATORY OBJECTIVES: I. To evaluate the effect of a simvastatin intervention versus placebo at 6 months from baseline on the change in other: Ia. serum bile acid levels; Ib. serum immune markers. OUTLINE: Patients are randomized to 1 of 2 groups. GROUP I: Patients receive simvastatin orally (PO) once daily (QD). Patients also undergo collection of blood on study and computed tomography (CT) scans/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) throughout the trial. GROUP II: Patients receive placebo PO QD. Patients also undergo collection of blood on study and CT/MRI throughout the trial. In both groups, treatment continues for up to 6 months in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity. After completion of study treatment, patients are followed up at 30, 60, and 90 days.

Interventions

PROCEDUREBiospecimen Collection

Undergo collection of blood

PROCEDUREComputed Tomography

Undergo CT

PROCEDUREMagnetic Resonance Imaging

Undergo MRI

OTHERPlacebo Administration

Given PO

OTHERQuestionnaire Administration

Ancillary studies

DRUGSimvastatin

Given PO

Sponsors

National Cancer Institute (NCI)
Lead SponsorNIH

Study design

Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Intervention model
PARALLEL
Primary purpose
PREVENTION
Masking
DOUBLE (Subject, Investigator)

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Confirmed diagnosis of liver cirrhosis assessed by the presence of clinical signs, symptoms, body imaging (ultrasound, computed tomography \[CT\], or magnetic resonance imaging \[MRI\]), or liver biopsy * Age \>= 18 years * Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status =\< 1 (Karnofsky \>= 70%) * Leukocytes \>= 2,500/microliter * Absolute neutrophil count \>= 1,500/microliter * Platelets \>= 50,000/microliter * Hemoglobin \>= 8 g/dL * Total bilirubin =\< 3 x institutional upper limit of normal (ULN) * Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (serum glutamic-oxaloacetic transaminase \[SGOT\])/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (serum glutamate pyruvate transaminase \[SGPT\]) =\< 5 x institutional ULN * Creatinine =\< 1.5 x institutional ULN * Women who are able to become pregnant must have a confirmed negative pregnancy test result prior to enrollment; women \>= 50 years of age who have not had a menstrual period in the past year; and women who have had a hysterectomy, both ovaries removed, or a tubal ligation; will not be required to have a pregnancy test * The effects of simvastatin on the developing human fetus at the recommended therapeutic dose are unknown; for this reason, women who are able to become pregnant must agree to use adequate contraception (hormonal or barrier method of birth control; abstinence) prior to study entry and for the duration of study participation; should a woman become pregnant or suspect she is pregnant while participating in this study, she should inform her study physician immediately * Ability to understand and the willingness to sign a written informed consent document and medical release * Willing and able to comply with trial protocol and follow-up * Have had an abdominal imaging test (CT, MRI, or ultrasound) within the past 18 months

Exclusion criteria

* Prior or current use of statin medication * Current systemic use of medications known to interact with statins and potentially increase toxicity, including gemfibrozil, cyclosporine, danazol, lomitapide, verapamil, diltiazem, dronedarone, amiodarone, amlodipine, ranolazine, strong CYP3A4 inhibitors (e.g., itraconazole, ketoconazole, posaconazole, voriconazole, human immunodeficiency virus \[HIV\] protease inhibitors, boceprevir, telaprevir, erythromycin, clarithromycin, telithromycin, nefazodone, or cobicistat-containing products), or strong CYP3A4 inducers (e.g., carbamazepine, phenytoin, rifampin, St. John's wort, bosentan, efavirenz, etravirine, modafinil, nafcillin) * History of adverse effects, intolerance, or allergic reactions attributed to compounds of similar chemical or biologic composition to simvastatin (i.e., other statin medications) * Current use of any other investigational agents * Women who are pregnant or breastfeeding; pregnant women are excluded from this study because simvastatin is a lipid-lowering agent with the potential for teratogenic or abortifacient effects; it is not known whether simvastatin is excreted into human milk; however, a small amount of another drug in this class does pass into breast milk; because there is an unknown but potential risk for adverse events in nursing infants secondary to treatment of the mother with simvastatin, breastfeeding should be discontinued if the mother is treated with simvastatin * Prior liver transplant * Prior known or suspected hepatocellular carcinoma * Prior cholangiocarcinoma * Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) \> 20 * Any lab results that do not meet inclusion criteria after the Screen 1 blood tests * Uncontrolled intercurrent illness including, but not limited to, ongoing or active infection, symptomatic congestive heart failure, unstable angina pectoris, cardiac arrhythmia, or psychiatric illness/social situations that would limit compliance with study requirements * History of chronic myopathy * Prior germ cell cancer * History of active malignancy within the past 5 years (excluding basal/squamous cell skin cancer or prostate cancer with a Gleason score 6 or less) * Known active infection with HIV * Medical contraindications to blood draw (e.g., hemophilia) * Concurrent illness which in the opinion of the investigators would compromise either the patient or the integrity of the data * Current excessive alcohol consumption (average alcohol consumption of more than 5 drinks per day)

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Change in Serum AFP-L3%Baseline to 6 monthsAssessed by liquid-phase binding assay. Mean AFP-L3% difference calculated including all participants imputing undetectable values with 0.5%

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Change in Serum AFPBaseline to 6 monthsAssessed by liquid-phase binding assay. Mean difference in AFP, a glycoform produced by malignant liver cells.
Change in Serum IL-6Baseline to 6 monthsMean difference in IL-6 (interleukin-6) NPX (normalized protein expression).
Change in Serum Deoxycholic AcidBaseline to 6 monthsAssessed by liquid chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry. Median difference in serum DCA (deoxycholic acid), a secondary bile acid.
Change in Liver StiffnessBaseline to 6 monthsAssessed by liver elastography. Fibroscan score from a fibroscan examination (a non-invasive measurement of liver fibrosis). A test result of greater than 20kPa is generally associated with an increased HCC risk. Mean difference in liver stiffness.
Change in Fibrosis 4 Index ScoreBaseline to 6 monthsThe Fib-4 index is a non-invasive measure of liver stiffness. A high score (FIB4 ≥ 3.25) and low score is (FIB4 \< 1.3) The FIB-4 index is calculated as follows: FIB-4 = (Age × AST (U/L)) ÷ (PLT (109/L) × (√ ALT (U/L)). Change in mean difference.
Change in Model for End-Stage Liver Disease ScoreBaseline to 6 monthsThe Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a validated predictor of survival among different populations of patients with advanced liver disease. MELD = 9.57 x ln(creatinine \[mg/dL\]) + 3.78 x ln(total bilirubin \[mg/dL\]) + 11.2 x ln(INR) + 6.43. Scores range from 6 (low/ less liver disease) to 40 (high/severe liver disease). Change in mean difference.

Countries

Puerto Rico, United States

Contacts

PRINCIPAL_INVESTIGATORMarc T Goodman

Northwestern University

Participant flow

Pre-assignment details

59 participants were randomized. 52 out of 59 participants started study agent.

Participants by arm

ArmCount
Group I (Simvastatin)
Patients receive simvastatin PO QD. Treatment continues for up to 6 months in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity.
28
Group II (Placebo)
Patients receive placebo PO QD. Treatment continues for up to 6 months in the absence of disease progression or unacceptable toxicity.
24
Total52

Baseline characteristics

CharacteristicGroup I (Simvastatin)TotalGroup II (Placebo)
Age, Continuous58 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 9
59 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 8.3
59 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 7.4
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB)
Hispanic or Latino
12 Participants25 Participants13 Participants
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB)
Not Hispanic or Latino
15 Participants26 Participants11 Participants
Ethnicity (NIH/OMB)
Unknown or Not Reported
1 Participants1 Participants0 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
American Indian or Alaska Native
0 Participants0 Participants0 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Asian
1 Participants1 Participants0 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Black or African American
3 Participants8 Participants5 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
More than one race
0 Participants0 Participants0 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
0 Participants0 Participants0 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
Unknown or Not Reported
0 Participants0 Participants0 Participants
Race (NIH/OMB)
White
24 Participants43 Participants19 Participants
Region of Enrollment
Puerto Rico
4 participants7 participants3 participants
Region of Enrollment
United States
24 participants45 participants21 participants
Sex: Female, Male
Female
11 Participants22 Participants11 Participants
Sex: Female, Male
Male
17 Participants30 Participants13 Participants

Adverse events

Event typeEG000
affected / at risk
EG001
affected / at risk
deaths
Total, all-cause mortality
0 / 280 / 24
other
Total, other adverse events
24 / 2824 / 24
serious
Total, serious adverse events
3 / 283 / 24

Outcome results

Primary

Change in Serum AFP-L3%

Assessed by liquid-phase binding assay. Mean AFP-L3% difference calculated including all participants imputing undetectable values with 0.5%

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)Dispersion
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Serum AFP-L3%0.24 percentStandard Deviation 1
Group II (Placebo)Change in Serum AFP-L3%-0.04 percentStandard Deviation 0.11
Secondary

Change in Fibrosis 4 Index Score

The Fib-4 index is a non-invasive measure of liver stiffness. A high score (FIB4 ≥ 3.25) and low score is (FIB4 \< 1.3) The FIB-4 index is calculated as follows: FIB-4 = (Age × AST (U/L)) ÷ (PLT (109/L) × (√ ALT (U/L)). Change in mean difference.

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)Dispersion
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Fibrosis 4 Index Score0.4 score on a scaleStandard Deviation 1.2
Group II (Placebo)Change in Fibrosis 4 Index Score0.17 score on a scaleStandard Deviation 1.22
Secondary

Change in Liver Stiffness

Assessed by liver elastography. Fibroscan score from a fibroscan examination (a non-invasive measurement of liver fibrosis). A test result of greater than 20kPa is generally associated with an increased HCC risk. Mean difference in liver stiffness.

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)Dispersion
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Liver Stiffness3.89 kPAStandard Deviation 15
Group II (Placebo)Change in Liver Stiffness3.83 kPAStandard Deviation 14.1
Secondary

Change in Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is a validated predictor of survival among different populations of patients with advanced liver disease. MELD = 9.57 x ln(creatinine \[mg/dL\]) + 3.78 x ln(total bilirubin \[mg/dL\]) + 11.2 x ln(INR) + 6.43. Scores range from 6 (low/ less liver disease) to 40 (high/severe liver disease). Change in mean difference.

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)Dispersion
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score0.57 score on a scaleStandard Deviation 2.76
Group II (Placebo)Change in Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score0.18 score on a scaleStandard Deviation 1.61
Secondary

Change in Serum AFP

Assessed by liquid-phase binding assay. Mean difference in AFP, a glycoform produced by malignant liver cells.

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)Dispersion
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Serum AFP.39 ng/mlStandard Deviation 1.33
Group II (Placebo)Change in Serum AFP-0.09 ng/mlStandard Deviation 0.4
Secondary

Change in Serum Deoxycholic Acid

Assessed by liquid chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry. Median difference in serum DCA (deoxycholic acid), a secondary bile acid.

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEDIAN)
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Serum Deoxycholic Acid0.00 pmol/gram
Group II (Placebo)Change in Serum Deoxycholic Acid0.00 pmol/gram
Secondary

Change in Serum IL-6

Mean difference in IL-6 (interleukin-6) NPX (normalized protein expression).

Time frame: Baseline to 6 months

ArmMeasureValue (MEAN)
Group I (Simvastatin)Change in Serum IL-6-0.49 normalized protein expression
Group II (Placebo)Change in Serum IL-60.25 normalized protein expression

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Sep 10, 2026