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Clinician JUdgment Versus Risk Score to Predict Stroke outComes: The JURASSIC Clinical Trial

Clinician JUdgment Versus Risk Score to Predict Stroke outComes:

Status
Completed
Phases
NA
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT01657279
Acronym
JURASSIC
Enrollment
111
Registered
2012-08-06
Start date
2012-07-31
Completion date
2012-08-31
Last updated
2012-10-30

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Cerebrovascular Disease, Ischemic Stroke, Stroke

Keywords

stroke, risk score, iScore, outcomes, mortality, disability, institutionalization

Brief summary

Background: Several risk score models are now available to assist clinicians estimate outcomes after an acute ischemic stroke. Limited information is available on the predictive value of these scores compared to real outcomes and clinical judgment. Objectives: To compare clinician judgment with the use of a validated stroke risk score (iScore) and patients' outcomes.

Detailed description

A convenience sample of 111 practicing clinicians (general and vascular neurologists, internists, and ER physicians) predicted the outcomes of 5 stroke patients based on case summaries. Cases were randomly selected as being representative of the 10 most common clinical scenarios (n=1,415) from a pool of over 12,000 patients admitted to stroke centers in Ontario, Canada. Stroke cases had known clinical presentation, comorbidities, stroke severity, and outcomes. All participants are active practicing physicians caring for patients with acute stroke. Conditions were standardized to mimic clinical practice. Main outcomes of interest included 30-day mortality and death or disability at discharge. Secondary outcome: death or institutionalization at discharge

Interventions

OTHERClinical scenarios

Clinicians will be randomized to a sequence of 5 clinical scenarios with a variable range of expected outcome \[i.e. from low (\<10%) to high (\>50%) expected risk death at 30 days\].

Sponsors

Heart and Stroke Foundation of Ontario
CollaboratorOTHER
Unity Health Toronto
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Allocation
NA
Intervention model
SINGLE_GROUP
Primary purpose
DIAGNOSTIC
Masking
DOUBLE (Investigator, Outcomes Assessor)

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
20 Years to 75 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Practicing and active physicians managing patients with stroke

Exclusion criteria

* retired physicians * physicians not exposed to care for stroke patients

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frame
30 Day Mortality or Disability (mRS >3) at dischargeDeath after 30 days from ischemic stroke onset or Disability following hospital discharge

Secondary

MeasureTime frame
Death at 30 days30 days
Death or institutionalization at dischargeup to 30 days after discharge

Countries

Canada, United States

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Feb 4, 2026