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Warfarin Versus Aspirin in Reduced Cardiac Ejection Fraction (WARCEF) Trial

Warfarin Versus Aspirin in Reduced Cardiac Ejection Fraction (WARCEF) Trial

Status
Completed
Phases
Phase 3
Study type
Interventional
Source
ClinicalTrials.gov
Registry ID
NCT00041938
Acronym
WARCEF
Enrollment
2305
Registered
2002-07-22
Start date
2002-10-31
Completion date
2014-07-31
Last updated
2014-09-05

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Heart Disease, Ischemic Heart Disease, Myocardial Infarction, Stroke

Keywords

heart disease, stroke, ischemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation, low ejection fraction, cardiac failure, aspirin, Warfarin, anticoagulant

Brief summary

The purpose of this study is to determine which of two treatments, Warfarin or aspirin, is better for preventing death and stroke in patients with poor heart function. We are now transitioning into the sub-analysis part of the WARCEF patient data. The study has recently completed data analysis for its Primary Aim. All randomized patients have completed their follow up. All study related procedure as per the protocol has been completed. We are now in the extension phase of the study to obtain more patient data to address further aims of the study. No new procedures are performed and data already in place at the sites will be collected (EKG and echocardiograms). The aims for this study extension are: * To assess progression of cardiac dysfunction over time among heart failure patients * To correlate prognosis with cardiac dysfunction

Detailed description

Warfarin has proven effective in patients with ischemic heart disease, especially in the reduction of stroke, death and re-infarction following myocardial infarction, and in the reduction of stroke in atrial fibrillation. Warfarin is the most promising unstudied intervention in patients with cardiac failure. This randomized, double-blind, multi-center study will define optimal antithrombotic therapy for patients with cardiac (heart) failure and patients with low ejection fraction (EF). EF is the proportion of left ventricular volume emptied during systole. It reliably measures left ventricular systolic function. With the rapidly increasing numbers of elderly patients with heart failure, this study has important public health implications. The study will determine which of two commonly used treatments Warfarin, an anticoagulant, or aspirin, a drug which affects platelet function is better for preventing death and stroke in patients with low ejection fraction.

Interventions

DRUGaspirin

325 mg per day

DRUGWarfarin

INR 2.5-3.0; target INR 2.75

Sponsors

National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS)
CollaboratorNIH
Columbia University
Lead SponsorOTHER

Study design

Allocation
RANDOMIZED
Intervention model
PARALLEL
Primary purpose
PREVENTION
Masking
DOUBLE (Subject, Investigator)

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
ALL
Age
18 Years to No maximum
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

* Cardiac EF \<=35% by radionuclide ventriculography, left ventriculography or quantitive echocardiographic measurement or an echocardiographic Wall Motion Index of \<=1.2, within three months of enrollment. The patient's clinical cardiac state at enrollment should be similar to their state at the time of the qualifying echocardiogram. The qualifying left ventricular function measurement must be obtained at least three months after an MI, coronary bypass grafting, PTCA, and at least one month after pacemaker insertion. Patients scheduled for mitral valve repair should have qualifying echo after surgery. * Modified Rankin score \<=4. * Patient must be taking ACE inhibitors. If intolerant of ACE inhibitor, patient must be on angiotensin II receptor blockers or hydralazine and nitrates. * Patient is able to follow an outpatient protocol (requiring monthly blood tests and clinic visits every four months for the duration of the study) and is available by telephone. * Patient understands the purpose and requirements of the study, can make him/herself understood, and has provided informed consent. * Patients with recent stroke or TIA within twelve (12) months will be eligible to be included in the recent stroke (RS) subgroup. * Chronic CHF patients (NYHA I \* IV) admitted to the hospital can be randomized prior to discharge if the patient is stable, taking oral medications for 24 hours and ambulatory at the time of discharge. Stable New York Heart Association Class IV patients will be eligible for randomization.

Exclusion criteria

* The presence of any of the following unequivocal cardiac sources of embolism: chronic or paroxysmal AF, mechanical valve, endocarditis, intracardiac mobile or pedunculated thrombus, and valvular vegetation. * Cyanotic congenital heart disease, Eisenmenger's syndrome. * Decompensated heart failure. * Cardiac surgery, angioplasty, or MI within the past 3 months prior to randomization. * A contraindication to the use of either warfarin or aspirin, e.g. active peptic ulcer disease, active bleeding diathesis, platelets \<100,000\*, hematocrit \<30, INR \>1.3 (if not on warfarin), clotting factor abnormality that increases the risk of bleeding, alcohol or substance abuse, severe gait instability, cerebral hemorrhage, systemic hemorrhage within the past year, severe liver impairment (AST \>3x normal\*, cirrhosis), any condition requiring regular use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agents, allergy to aspirin or warfarin, uncontrolled severe hypertension (systolic pressure \>180 mm Hg or diastolic pressure \> 110 mm Hg), positive stool guaiac not attributable to hemorrhoids, creatinine \>3.0\*. \*on most recent test done within 30 days prior to randomization * Patient needs continuing therapy with intravenous heparin or low molecular weight heparin or a specific antiplatelet agent. * Dementia or psychiatric or physical problem that prevents the patient from following an outpatient program reliably. * Comorbid conditions that may limit survival to less than five years. * Pregnancy, or female of childbearing potential who is not sterilized or is not using a medically accepted form of contraception\* (see procedure manual). \*A pregnancy test is required for all women of childbearing age. * Enrollment in another study that would conflict with WARCEF. * Hospitalization for new diagnosis of onset CHF within the past one month or carotid endarterectomy or pacemaker insertion within the past one month prior to randomization . * Person under 18 years of age.

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years for Composite Endpoint of Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or DeathFrom date of randomization until the date of the first to occur of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to 6 yearsThe time, in years, from randomization to the first to occur of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to a maximum of 6 years. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with event)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Secondary

MeasureTime frameDescription
Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Composite Endpoint of Hospitalization for Heart Failure, Myocardial Infarction, Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death.From randomization to the first to occur of hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to a maximum of 6 years.The time, in years, from date of randomization to the date of the first to occur of hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to 6 years. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with event)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Other

MeasureTime frameDescription
Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for DeathFrom date of randomization to date of death component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from date of randomization to date of death component of primary composite outcome. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects who died)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Myocardial Infarction Component of Secondary Composite OutcomeFrom date of randomization to date of myocardial infarction component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from date of randomization to date of myocardial infarction, up to 6 years. Includes only myocardial infarctions that occurred during follow-up, before any heart failure hospitalization. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with myocardial infarction)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Heart Failure Hospitalization Component of Secondary Composite Outcome.From date of randomization to date of heart failure hospitalization component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from date of randomization to date of heart failure hospitalization, up to 6 years. Includes hospitalizations for heart failure during follow-up that were not preceded by myocardial infarction. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with heart failure hospitalization)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Ischemic Stroke Component of Secondary Composite OutcomeFrom date of randomization to date of ischemic stroke component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsIschemic stroke component of secondary composite endpoint. Includes only ischemic strokes that were not preceded by a myocardial infarction or heart failure hospitalization. The number of ischemic strokes that are components of the secondary outcome does not therefore match the number of ischemic strokes that are components of the primary outcome. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with ischemic stroke)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1)of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Ischemic StrokeFrom date of randomization to date of ischemic stroke component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from date of randomization to date of ischemic stroke component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 years. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with ischemic stroke)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Death Component of Secondary Composite OutcomeFrom date of randomization to date of death component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from randomization to death component of secondary composite outcome. This measure counts only deaths that were not preceded by heart failure hospitalization, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or intracerebral hemorrhage. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects who died)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Major HemorrhageFrom date of randomization until end of scheduled follow-up, up to 6 yearsRate/100 patient-years of major hemorrhage. Includes all major hemorrhages in any patient. Major hemorrhage was defined as intracerebral, epidural, subdural, subarachnoid, spinal intramedullary, or retinal hemorrhage; any other bleeding causing a decline in the hemoglobin level of more than 2 g per deciliter in 48 hours; or bleeding requiring transfusion of 2 or more units of whole blood, hospitalization, or surgical intervention. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of major hemorrhage events)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Rate Per 100 Patient-years of Minor Hemorrhage.From date of randomization until the end of scheduled follow-up, up to 6 yearsRate per 100 patient years of minor hemorrhage. Includes all minor hemorrhages. Minor hemorrhage was defined as any non-major hemorrhage. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of minor hemorrhage events)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1)of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Component of Secondary Composite OutcomeFrom date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of secondary composite outcome. Includes only intracerebral hemorrhages not preceded by myocardial infarction or heart failure hospitalization. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with intracerebral hemorrhage)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.
Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Intracerebral HemorrhageFrom date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 yearsTime, in years, from date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of primary composite outcome. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with intracerebral hemorrhage)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Countries

Canada, United States

Participant flow

Recruitment details

Recruited 2305 patients at 176 sites in 11 countries, between 10/1/2002 and 1/31/2010.

Pre-assignment details

Intent-to-treat trial - all randomized patients followed and analyzed.

Participants by arm

ArmCount
Aspirin
Aspirin : 325 mg per day
1,163
Warfarin
Warfarin : INR 2.5-3.0; target INR 2.75
1,142
Total2,305

Baseline characteristics

CharacteristicAspirinWarfarinTotal
Age, Categorical
<=18 years
0 Participants0 Participants0 Participants
Age, Categorical
>=65 years
431 Participants436 Participants867 Participants
Age, Categorical
Between 18 and 65 years
732 Participants706 Participants1438 Participants
Age, Continuous61 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 11.1
61 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 11.6
61 years
STANDARD_DEVIATION 11.3
Region of Enrollment
Argentina
50 participants42 participants92 participants
Region of Enrollment
Europe
567 participants527 participants1094 participants
Region of Enrollment
North America
546 participants573 participants1119 participants
Sex/Gender, Customized
Female
224 participants236 participants460 participants
Sex/Gender, Customized
Male
936 participants904 participants1840 participants
Sex/Gender, Customized
Unknown
3 participants2 participants5 participants

Adverse events

Event typeEG000
affected / at risk
EG001
affected / at risk
deaths
Total, all-cause mortality
— / —— / —
other
Total, other adverse events
749 / 1,163799 / 1,142
serious
Total, serious adverse events
617 / 1,163632 / 1,142

Outcome results

Primary

Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years for Composite Endpoint of Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death

The time, in years, from randomization to the first to occur of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to a maximum of 6 years. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with event)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization until the date of the first to occur of ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat analysis: all enrolled patients were analyzed.

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years for Composite Endpoint of Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death7.93 events per 100 patient-years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years for Composite Endpoint of Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death7.47 events per 100 patient-years
Comparison: The primary null hypothesis: time to first event in the composite primary endpoint does not differ significantly between warfarin and aspirin. The original target sample size was 2860, providing 89% power for a log-rank test with two-sided alpha .05, assuming a hazard rate reduction of 17.82% in either group compared with the other, after adjustment for use of beta-blockers and allowance for discontinuation of therapy, dropout, and crossover. The final sample of 2305 patients yielded 69% power.p-value: 0.495% CI: [0.79, 1.1]Regression, Cox
Secondary

Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Composite Endpoint of Hospitalization for Heart Failure, Myocardial Infarction, Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death.

The time, in years, from date of randomization to the date of the first to occur of hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to 6 years. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with event)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From randomization to the first to occur of hospitalization for heart failure, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, or death, up to a maximum of 6 years.

Population: Intent-to-treat analysis: all enrolled patients were analyzed.

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Composite Endpoint of Hospitalization for Heart Failure, Myocardial Infarction, Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death.12.15 events per 100 patient-years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Composite Endpoint of Hospitalization for Heart Failure, Myocardial Infarction, Ischemic Stroke, Intracerebral Hemorrhage, or Death.12.70 events per 100 patient-years
Comparison: Secondary null hypothesis: time to first event in the composite secondary endpoint does not differ significantly between warfarin and aspirin. This was tested at prespecified alpha = 0.05 level, two-tailed.p-value: 0.3395% CI: [0.93, 1.23]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Death

Time, in years, from date of randomization to date of death component of primary composite outcome. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects who died)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of death component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Death6.52 events per 100 patient-years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Death6.63 events per 100 patient-years
p-value: 0.9195% CI: [0.85, 1.2]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Time, in years, from date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of primary composite outcome. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with intracerebral hemorrhage)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Intracerebral Hemorrhage0.05 rate per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Intracerebral Hemorrhage0.12 rate per 100 patient years
Comparison: Null hypothesis: there is no difference between warfarin and aspirin in time to intracerebral hemorrhage, adjusting for competing risks of death and ischemic stroke.p-value: 0.3595% CI: [0.43, 11.66]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Ischemic Stroke

Time, in years, from date of randomization to date of ischemic stroke component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 years. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with ischemic stroke)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of ischemic stroke component of primary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Ischemic Stroke1.36 rate per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient-years for Ischemic Stroke0.72 rate per 100 patient years
Comparison: Null hypothesis: there is no difference between warfarin and aspirin in time to ischemic stroke, adjusting for competing risks of death and intracerebral hemorrhage.p-value: 0.00595% CI: [0.33, 0.82]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Death Component of Secondary Composite Outcome

Time, in years, from randomization to death component of secondary composite outcome. This measure counts only deaths that were not preceded by heart failure hospitalization, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, or intracerebral hemorrhage. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects who died)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of death component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Death Component of Secondary Composite Outcome4.41 events per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Death Component of Secondary Composite Outcome4.43 events per 100 patient years
p-value: 0.8395% CI: [0.81, 1.3]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Heart Failure Hospitalization Component of Secondary Composite Outcome.

Time, in years, from date of randomization to date of heart failure hospitalization, up to 6 years. Includes hospitalizations for heart failure during follow-up that were not preceded by myocardial infarction. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with heart failure hospitalization)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of heart failure hospitalization component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat.

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Heart Failure Hospitalization Component of Secondary Composite Outcome.5.67 events per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Heart Failure Hospitalization Component of Secondary Composite Outcome.6.79 events per 100 patient years
Comparison: Null hypothesis: there is no difference between warfarin and aspirin in time to heart failure hospitalization, adjusting for competing risks of myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and death.p-value: 0.05395% CI: [0.998, 1.47]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Component of Secondary Composite Outcome

Time, in years, from date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of secondary composite outcome. Includes only intracerebral hemorrhages not preceded by myocardial infarction or heart failure hospitalization. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with intracerebral hemorrhage)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of intracerebral hemorrhage component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Component of Secondary Composite Outcome0.06 events per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Component of Secondary Composite Outcome0.11 events per 100 patient years
Comparison: Null hypothesis: there is no difference between warfarin and aspirin in time to intracerebral hemorrhage, adjusting for competing risks of myocardial infarction, heart failure hospitalization, ischemic stroke, and death.p-value: 0.5195% CI: [0.32, 9.88]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Ischemic Stroke Component of Secondary Composite Outcome

Ischemic stroke component of secondary composite endpoint. Includes only ischemic strokes that were not preceded by a myocardial infarction or heart failure hospitalization. The number of ischemic strokes that are components of the secondary outcome does not therefore match the number of ischemic strokes that are components of the primary outcome. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with ischemic stroke)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1)of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of ischemic stroke component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat.

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Ischemic Stroke Component of Secondary Composite Outcome1.14 events per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Ischemic Stroke Component of Secondary Composite Outcome0.57 events per 100 patient years
Comparison: Null hypothesis: there is no difference between warfarin and aspirin in time to ischemic stroke, adjusting for competing risks of myocardial infarction, heart failure hospitalization, death and intracerebral hemorrhage.p-value: 0.0395% CI: [0.32, 0.96]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Event Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Myocardial Infarction Component of Secondary Composite Outcome

Time, in years, from date of randomization to date of myocardial infarction, up to 6 years. Includes only myocardial infarctions that occurred during follow-up, before any heart failure hospitalization. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of subjects with myocardial infarction)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization to date of myocardial infarction component of secondary composite outcome, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Myocardial Infarction Component of Secondary Composite Outcome0.87 events per 100 patient years
WarfarinEvent Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Myocardial Infarction Component of Secondary Composite Outcome0.80 events per 100 patient years
Comparison: Null hypothesis: there is no difference between warfarin and aspirin in time to myocardial infarction, adjusting for competing risks of heart failure hospitalization, ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, and death.p-value: 0.9395% CI: [0.58, 1.64]Regression, Cox
Other Pre-specified

Rate Per 100 Patient Years of Major Hemorrhage

Rate/100 patient-years of major hemorrhage. Includes all major hemorrhages in any patient. Major hemorrhage was defined as intracerebral, epidural, subdural, subarachnoid, spinal intramedullary, or retinal hemorrhage; any other bleeding causing a decline in the hemoglobin level of more than 2 g per deciliter in 48 hours; or bleeding requiring transfusion of 2 or more units of whole blood, hospitalization, or surgical intervention. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of major hemorrhage events)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1) of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization until end of scheduled follow-up, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinRate Per 100 Patient Years of Major Hemorrhage0.87 events per 100 patient years
WarfarinRate Per 100 Patient Years of Major Hemorrhage1.78 events per 100 patient years
p-value: <0.00195% CI: [1.36, 3.12]Regression, Poisson
Other Pre-specified

Rate Per 100 Patient-years of Minor Hemorrhage.

Rate per 100 patient years of minor hemorrhage. Includes all minor hemorrhages. Minor hemorrhage was defined as any non-major hemorrhage. Event rate per 100 patient years = 100\*(number of minor hemorrhage events)/patient-years of follow-up. Patient years of follow-up = sum(date of conclusion of follow-up - date of randomization + 1)of all randomized patients / 365.25.

Time frame: From date of randomization until the end of scheduled follow-up, up to 6 years

Population: Intent-to-treat

ArmMeasureValue (NUMBER)
AspirinRate Per 100 Patient-years of Minor Hemorrhage.7.34 events per 100 patient-years
WarfarinRate Per 100 Patient-years of Minor Hemorrhage.11.6 events per 100 patient-years
p-value: <0.00195% CI: [1.34, 1.81]Regression, Poisson

Source: ClinicalTrials.gov · Data processed: Mar 26, 2026