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Blood Tests to Predict Treatment Response Before Surgery in Rectal Cancer Predict How Well the Tumor Responds Before Surgery in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Serial CEA/CA19-9 Ratio Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Response in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer Receiving Sequential NACT NACT-RT TME

Status
Active, not recruiting
Phases
Unknown
Study type
Observational
Source
CTRI
Registry ID
CTRI/2026/04/109475
Enrollment
115
Registered
2026-04-27
Start date
Unknown
Completion date
Unknown
Last updated
2026-06-01

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

Health Condition 1: C20- Malignant neoplasm of rectum

Interventions

Intervention1: Nil: Nil Intervention2: Nil: Nil Intervention3: NIL: NIL

Sponsors

MNJ institute of oncology
Lead Sponsor

Eligibility

Inclusion criteria

Inclusion criteria: 1. Histologically confirmed rectal adenocarcinoma on endoscopic biopsy 2. Clinical stage cT3 or cT4 any N, OR cT2 with node positive disease, confirmed by high resolution pelvic MRI, with M0 confirmed on CT chest abdomen and pelvis 3. Lower tumour border within 15 cm of anal verge 4. Planned for and receiving sequential induction oxaliplatin based chemotherapy NACT followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy NACT-RT followed by total mesorectal excision TME 5. ECOG Performance Status 0 to 2 6. Adequate organ function: Haemoglobin 9 g per dL or above; ANC 1500 per microlitre or above; Platelets 100000 per microlitre or above; Creatinine clearance 50 mL per min or above; Bilirubin 1.5 times ULN or below; AST and ALT 3 times ULN or below 7. Baseline CEA and CA19-9 blood tests available within 7 days of NACT Cycle 1 Day 1 8. Written informed consent obtained in the patient preferred language 9. Able to attend all 9 study visits and provide all 6 study blood draws

Exclusion criteria

Exclusion criteria: 1. Synchronous distant metastasis (M1 disease) 2. Mucinous adenocarcinoma with more than 50 percent mucinous component, or signet ring cell carcinoma with more than 50 percent signet ring cell component (CEA secretion unreliable in these histological subtypes) 3. Prior pelvic radiotherapy 4. Prior active malignancy within 5 years, except adequately treated non-melanoma skin cancer or cervical carcinoma in situ 5. Known DPD (dihydropyrimidine dehydrogenase) deficiency 6. Active inflammatory bowel disease 7. Pregnancy or lactation 8. Anticipated inability to complete 4 or more of the 6 required study blood draws 9. Participation in another interventional clinical trial testing a treatment modification

Design outcomes

Primary

MeasureTime frame
To develop and internally validate a nomogram using serial NCR values at 6 timepoints across the NACT followed by NACT-RT course to predict pathological complete response (pCR: ypT0N0) in the TME resection specimenTimepoint: T0 Baseline T1 NACT early T2 NACT mid T3 NACT completion / CRT baseline T4 CRT Week 3 T5 CRT completion

Secondary

MeasureTime frame
Correlate NCR parameters with Modified Ryan Scheme for Tumor Regression Score (TRG 0 3Timepoint: post surgery;Correlate NCR parameters with ypT/ypN downstagingTimepoint: post surgery TME specimen;Compare nomogram C-index of NCR vs CEA alone, CA19-9 alone, TMI, and STBC scoreTimepoint: post surgery;Determine whether NACT-phase NCR change (T0 to T3) contributes independently to pCR prediction beyond CRT-phase change (T3 to T5)Timepoint: post surgery;Determine optimal NCR cutoffs at each timepointTimepoint: post surgery;CRM positivity rate and R0 resection rate by NCR trajectory classTimepoint: post surgery TME specimen

Countries

India

Contacts

Public ContactDr Ravitej Athota

mnj institute of oncology

raviathota7@gmail.com9949839797

Outcome results

None listed

Source: CTRI (via WHO ICTRP) · Data processed: Jun 11, 2026