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Using patient-specific clinical characteristics and genetic testing to predict the best weight loss medication for adults with obesity

A stratified, randomised controlled trial evaluating phenotype-guided therapy and a genetic risk score (CTSGRS) to predict differential weight loss response to phentermine–topiramate versus GLP-1–based therapy in adults with obesity

Status
Not yet recruiting
Phases
Phase 4
Study type
Interventional
Source
ANZCTR
Registry ID
ACTRN12626000702314
Acronym
PREDICT-OBESITY
Enrollment
150
Registered
2026-06-12
Start date
2026-09-01
Completion date
2027-02-28
Last updated
2026-06-22

For informational purposes only — not medical advice. Sourced from public registries and may not reflect the latest updates. Terms

Conditions

None listed

Brief summary

This study aims to determine whether using clinical and genetic calorie-to-satiation scores can help select the most effective weight loss medication for people with obesity. Participants will undergo detailed assessments and be randomly assigned to receive either phentermine–topiramate or a GLP-1–based medication (semaglutide or tirzepatide). The study will compare how much weight participants lose after reaching a stable treatment dose. We hypothesise that individuals with different calorie-to-satiation scores will respond better to specific medications, allowing more personalised treatment. The findings may help improve weight loss outcomes and reduce trial-and-error prescribing in obesity care.

Interventions

Arm 1: - Phentermine + Topiramate - Dose: Phentermine 15 mg orally once daily; Topiramate commencing at a dose of 25mg daily and then up-titrating by 25mg every 2 weeks, if tolerated until a dose of 100mg daily is reached (Week 1 and 2: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 25 mg nocte; Week 3 and 4: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 50 mg nocte; Week 5 and 6: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 25 mg mane and 50 mg nocte; Week 7-30: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 50 mg mane and 50 mg noct

Arm 1: - Phentermine + Topiramate - Dose: Phentermine 15 mg orally once daily; Topiramate commencing at a dose of 25mg daily and then up-titrating by 25mg every 2 weeks, if tolerated until a dose of 100mg daily is reached (Week 1 and 2: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 25 mg nocte; Week 3 and 4: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 50 mg nocte; Week 5 and 6: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 25 mg mane and 50 mg nocte; Week 7-30: Phentermine 15 mg mane + Topiramate 50 mg mane and 50 mg nocte). Maintenance dose is maximum tolerated dose or maximum dose defined in the protocol. - Duration: up to 30 weeks (24weeks on maintenance dose) - Mode: Phentermine oral capsule; Topiramate oral tablets. - Adherence: Regular phone follow-ups Arm 2: GLP-1 based therapy (Semaglutide or Tirzepatide allocated using randomisation stratified by CTS) Arm 2, Stratum B: - Tirzepatide - Dose: 2.5 mg -> 15 mg weekly. Tirzepatide commencing at a dose of 2.5mg weekly and then up-titrating every 4 weeks, if tolerated until a dose of 15mg weekly is reached (Week 1-4: Tirzepatide 2.5mg weekly; Week 5-8: Tirzepatide 5mg weekly; Week 9-12: Tirzepatide 7.5mg weekly; Week 13-16: Tirzepatide 10mg weekly; Week 17-20: Tirzepatide 12.5mg weekly; Week 21-44: Tirzepatide 15mg weekly). Maintenance dose is maximum tolerated dose or maximum dose defined in the protocol. - Duration: up to 44 weeks (24eeks on maintenance dose) - Mode: Subcutaneous injection delivered by pre-filled multi-dose pens - Adherence: Regular phone follow-ups

Sponsors

MetroSouth Health, Queensland Health
Lead SponsorGovernment body

Study design

Allocation
Randomised controlled trial
Intervention model
Parallel
Primary purpose
Treatment
Masking
Open (masking not used)

Eligibility

Sex/Gender
All
Age
18 Years to 65 Years
Healthy volunteers
No

Inclusion criteria

- Patients 18-65 years old with obesity BMI >=30kg/m2 or BMI >=27kg/m2 and at least one obesity-related chronic disease such as type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, obstructive sleep apnoea, amongst others. - Individuals undergoing an evaluation for weight loss interventions (e.g., diet, medication, bariatric procedures, or weight loss surgery). - Ability and willingness to comply with the study protocol including completion of all procedures, study visits, questionnaires, assessments for the duration of the study. - Ability and willingness to self-administer the injectables. - Agreement to adhere to the contraception requirements.

Exclusion criteria

- No indication for weight loss medications - Already on weight loss medications or within 3months of enrolment into the study. - History of chronic gastrointestinal diseases - Prior weight loss surgery and/or GI surgery - Pregnancy or women planning pregnancy - Uncontrolled systemic disease/mental health illness - Uncontrolled hypertension - Medications that can affect GI motility and appetite - H/O acute or chronic pancreatitis or clinically significant gall bladder diseases. - Known personal or family H/O MEN-2 syndrome or medullary thyroid cancer. - Hypersensitivity to any of the study medications - Food intolerances to the meals involved in the study

Outcome results

None listed

Source: ANZCTR · Data processed: Jun 29, 2026